IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mes/emfitr/v59y2023i2p338-362.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Flights-to-quality from EM Bonds to safe-haven US Treasury Securities: A time-frequency Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Mariya Gubareva
  • Zaghum Umar
  • Tamara Teplova
  • Xuan Vinh Vo

Abstract

We study 2001–2020 flight-to-quality episodes encompassing two planetary-scale crises: the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2007–2008 and the coronavirus-triggered global meltdown. We focus on time-frequency lead-lag nexuses between holding emerging market (EM) debt and investing in relatively risk-free US Treasuries. Wavelet coherency along with the phase-difference approach is used. Our results reveal varying lead-lag patterns and low-coherence zones between EM bonds and US Treasuries, which imply the existence of appealing diversification attributes. The flights-to-quality during the crisis periods, such as the GFC and COVID-19 pandemic, emphasize the safe-haven characteristics of US Treasures. They also evidence that the post-Covid tightening of credit spreads to the pre-crisis levels is faster than the post-GFC recovery. We demonstrate that for EM debt investors, the US Treasury market allows for dynamic risk mitigation strategies during both global crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariya Gubareva & Zaghum Umar & Tamara Teplova & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2023. "Flights-to-quality from EM Bonds to safe-haven US Treasury Securities: A time-frequency Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(2), pages 338-362, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:59:y:2023:i:2:p:338-362
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2022.2103399
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/1540496X.2022.2103399
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/1540496X.2022.2103399?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Shoujun & Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "International transmission of shocks and African forex markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    2. Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2024. "Time-frequency comovements between environmental cryptocurrency sentiment and faith-based sectoral stocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 699-719.
    3. Esparcia, Carlos & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024. "ESG rating changes and portfolio returns: A wavelet analysis across market caps," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Naveed, Muhammad & Ali, Shoaib & Gubareva, Mariya & Omri, Anis, 2024. "When giants fall: Tracing the ripple effects of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapse on global financial markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    5. Mensi, Walid & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Spillover and connectedness among G7 real estate investment trusts: The effects of investor sentiment and global factors," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    6. Gubareva, Mariya & Sokolova, Tatiana & Umar, Zaghum & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2024. "Sukuk liquidity and creditworthiness during COVID-19," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 88-92.
    7. Ghosh, Bikramaditya & Pham, Linh & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Energy transition metals and global sentiment: Evidence from extreme quantiles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    8. Hanif, Waqas & Andraz, Jorge Miguel & Gubareva, Mariya & Teplova, Tamara, 2024. "Are REITS hedge or safe haven against oil price fall?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1-16.
    9. Ali, Shoaib & Naveed, Muhammad & Hanif, Hasan & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024. "The resilience of Shariah-compliant investments: Probing the static and dynamic connectedness between gold-backed cryptocurrencies and GCC equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Trabelsi, Nader & Umar, Zaghum & Dogah, Kingsley E. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2024. "Are investment grade Sukuks decoupled from the conventional yield curve?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:59:y:2023:i:2:p:338-362. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/MREE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.