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Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect Green Bond Markets? Evidence from Wavelet-Based Quantile Analysis

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  • Ping Wei
  • Yinshu Qi
  • Xiaohang Ren
  • Kun Duan

Abstract

This paper investigates the wavelet-based quantile dependence between Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) and green bond markets over 2014–2021. We first determine how the connectivity between EPU and green bonds differs across different investment horizons by decomposing EPU and green bond series into various frequency bands. Next, we provide a quantile-based framework to characterize the reliance between EPU and green bond markets across various market circumstances. Our findings show that the Granger causality from EPU to the green bond market is non-linear and varies across time scales. Our results benefit policymakers with a policy design to mitigate systematic volatility caused by external shocks in the green bond markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Ping Wei & Yinshu Qi & Xiaohang Ren & Kun Duan, 2022. "Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Affect Green Bond Markets? Evidence from Wavelet-Based Quantile Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(15), pages 4375-4388, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:58:y:2022:i:15:p:4375-4388
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2022.2069487
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    Cited by:

    1. Cao, Fangzhi & Su, Chi-Wei & Sun, Dian & Qin, Meng & Umar, Muhammad, 2024. "U.S. monetary policy: The pushing hands of crude oil price?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    2. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Doğan, Buhari & Ghosh, Sudeshna, 2023. "Sustainable debt and gas markets: A new look using the time-varying wavelet-windowed cross-correlation approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    3. Wang, Wei & Liu, Dongsheng & Chen, Lifeng & Song, Meizhe & Xu, Jiaqi, 2024. "Assessment of impacts of green technology and innovation on sustainable mineral resource production," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    4. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2023. "International spillovers of U.S. monetary uncertainty and equity market volatility to China’s stock markets," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    5. Zhang, Can & Zhang, Liangyu & Liu, Liyan & Du, Chaofei, 2024. "The study of the relationship between green finance and resource efficiency in east asian economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    6. He, Mu & Chen, Sisi, 2024. "Breaking the resource curse for sustainable growth and transforming rural economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    7. Doğan, Buhari & Trabelsi, Nader & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Ghosh, Sudeshna, 2023. "Dynamic dependence and causality between crude oil, green bonds, commodities, geopolitical risks, and policy uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 36-62.
    8. Wei, Ping & Qi, Yinshu & Ren, Xiaohang & Gozgor, Giray, 2023. "The role of the COVID-19 pandemic in time-frequency connectedness between oil market shocks and green bond markets: Evidence from the wavelet-based quantile approaches," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    9. Tanveer Bagh & Abdul Waheed & Muhammad Asif Khan & Mirza Muhammad Naseer, 2023. "Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on China’s Stock Price Index: A Comprehensive Analysis Using Wavelet Coherence Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
    10. Liu, Ding & Sun, Weihong & Xu, Liao & Zhang, Xuan, 2023. "Time-frequency relationship between economic policy uncertainty and financial cycle in China: Evidence from wavelet analysis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    11. Duan, Kun & Liu, Yang & Yan, Cheng & Huang, Yingying, 2023. "Differences in carbon risk spillovers with green versus traditional assets: Evidence from a full distributional analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    12. Lu, Man & Zhao, Yue, 2024. "Mineral resource extraction and environmental sustainability for green recovery," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    13. Long, Shaobo & Tian, Hao & Li, Zixuan, 2022. "Dynamic spillovers between uncertainties and green bond markets in the US, Europe, and China: Evidence from the quantile VAR framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    14. Liu, Fangying & Su, Chi Wei & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "The instability of U.S. economic policy: A hindrance or a stimulus to green financing?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 33-46.
    15. Bouri, Elie & Gök, Remzi & Gemi̇ci̇, Eray & Kara, Erkan, 2024. "Do geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and oil implied volatility drive assets across quantiles and time-horizons?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 137-154.
    16. Wu, Jiawen & Li, Jing-Ping & Su, Chi-Wei, 2024. "Can green bond hedges climate policy uncertainty in the United States: New insights from novel time-varying causality and quantile-on-quantile methods?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1158-1176.

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