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What Drives Non-Performing Loans? Evidence from Emerging and Advanced Economies during Pre- and Post-Global Financial Crisis

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  • Narman Kuzucu
  • Serpil Kuzucu

Abstract

We examine the determinants of non-performing loans (NPLs) in emerging countries compared to advanced countries during pre- and post-global financial crisis using dynamic panel estimation techniques. We analyze the effects of banking sector-specific factors and macroeconomic factors on NPLs utilizing a panel data set of emerging and advanced countries. Our results suggest that real GDP growth is the main determinant that affects the NPL ratio, and NPLs exhibit high persistence in emerging and advanced economies both for the pre- and post-crisis periods. We find that exchange rate and foreign direct investments (FDI) become statistically significant for emerging countries after the crisis period.

Suggested Citation

  • Narman Kuzucu & Serpil Kuzucu, 2019. "What Drives Non-Performing Loans? Evidence from Emerging and Advanced Economies during Pre- and Post-Global Financial Crisis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1694-1708, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:55:y:2019:i:8:p:1694-1708
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2018.1547877
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    Cited by:

    1. Segun Thompson Bolarinwa & Richard Olaolu Olayeni & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Is there a nonlinear relationship between nonperforming loans and bank profitability? Evidence from dynamic panel threshold," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 649-661, April.
    2. Segun Thompson Bolarinwa & Olawale Akinyele & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Determinants of nonperforming loans after recapitalization in the Nigerian banking industry: Does efficiency matter?," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1509-1524, September.
    3. Ozili, Peterson K, 2021. "Bank non-performing loans in the Fintech era," MPRA Paper 113467, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Gopalakrishnan, Balagopal & Jacob, Joshy & Srivastava, Jagriti, 2022. "Fishing in muddy waters: Mergers and acquisitions during uncertainty," IIMA Working Papers WP 2022-09-02, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    5. Pawel Siarka, 2021. "Global Portfolio Credit Risk Management: The US Banks Post-Crisis Challenge," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-19, March.
    6. Maryem Naili & Younes Lahrichi, 2022. "The determinants of banks' credit risk: Review of the literature and future research agenda," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 334-360, January.
    7. Khalil Alnabulsi & Emira Kozarević & Abdelaziz Hakimi, 2023. "Non-Performing Loans as a Driver of Banking Distress: A Systematic Literature Review," Commodities, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-20, April.
    8. Seyed Alireza Athari & Chafic Saliba & Danielle Khalife & Madonna Salameh-Ayanian, 2023. "The Role of Country Governance in Achieving the Banking Sector’s Sustainability in Vulnerable Environments: New Insight from Emerging Economies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-15, July.
    9. Chen, Jingquan & Ma, Wanying & Kchouri, Bilal & Ribeiro-Navarrete, Samuel, 2024. "Resource rich yet debt ridden: The role of natural resources and debt servicing in sustainable economic growth," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    10. Asma S. Alzwi & Jamil J. Jaber & Hani Nuri Rohuma & Rania Al Omari, 2024. "Evaluation of Total Risk-Weighted Assets in Islamic Banking through Fintech Innovations," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-24, July.
    11. Chafic Saliba & Panteha Farmanesh & Seyed Alireza Athari, 2023. "Does country risk impact the banking sectors’ non-performing loans? Evidence from BRICS emerging economies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-30, December.
    12. Ardit Gjeçi & Matej Marinč & Vasja Rant, 2023. "Non-performing loans and bank lending behaviour," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 1-26, March.
    13. Yolanda S. Stander, 2023. "The Governance and Disclosure of IFRS 9 Economic Scenarios," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-27, January.
    14. Zbigniew Korzeb & Paweł Niedziółka, 2021. "Determinants of Differentiation of Cost of Risk (CoR) among Polish Banks during COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-12, March.
    15. Li Liu & Yu-Min Liu & Jong-Min Kim & Rui Zhong & Guang-Qian Ren, 2020. "Analysis of Tail Dependence between Sovereign Debt Distress and Bank Non-Performing Loans," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-20, January.
    16. Chuluunbayar, Delgerjargal, 2020. "Macroeconomic determinants of non-performing loans in Mongolia: the influence of currency mismatch and bank size," MPRA Paper 101843, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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