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Population Structure and Housing Prices: Evidence from Chinese Provincial Panel Data

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  • Changkyu Choi
  • Hojin Jung
  • Li Su

Abstract

This study analyzes the relationship between the proportion of the economically active population aged 15–64 to total population and housing prices. A panel of 31 provinces in China from 2002 to 2014 is used in our analysis. We find empirical evidence that the impact of the population structure on housing-price growth increases as the population growth rates rise. This observation suggests that, to understand provincial housing price movements in China, one should consider the ratio of working-age population to total population in a province. The main policy implication is that Chinese policymakers need to ensure a moderated population growth to effectively promote stability in housing prices and the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Changkyu Choi & Hojin Jung & Li Su, 2019. "Population Structure and Housing Prices: Evidence from Chinese Provincial Panel Data," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(1), pages 29-38, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:55:y:2019:i:1:p:29-38
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2018.1496417
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    Cited by:

    1. Jonas Eliasson & Fredrik Kopsch & Svante Mandell & Mats Wilhelmsson, 2020. "Transport Mode and the Value of Accessibility–A Potential Input for Sustainable Investment Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-14, March.
    2. Kai Zhang & Yan Chen & Lifeng Wu, 2019. "Grey Spectrum Analysis of Air Quality Index and Housing Price in Handan," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-6, November.
    3. Chenzi Yang & Fernando Moreira & Thomas Welsh Archibald, 2023. "Community banks' capital requirements and regional housing tenure," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(4), pages 723-746, December.
    4. Guanghua Wan & Chen Wang & Yu Wu, 2021. "What Drove Housing Wealth Inequality in China?," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 29(1), pages 32-60, January.

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