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Volatility Spillover from the Fear Index to Developed and Emerging Markets

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  • Ihsan U. Badshah

Abstract

This article examines cross-market volatility linkages among the fear index (VIX), the developed-market index (VXEFA), and the emerging-market index (VXEEM). Analysis on the first moments of volatilities reveals that the fear index has a leading role and has information content for VXEFA and VXEEM. A shock to the fear index spillovers to VXEFA and VXEEM and contributes 57.07% and 63.77% to their shocks, respectively. Further analysis on the second moments of volatilities confirms that the volatility indices are highly dynamically correlated while the fear index drives the correlation dynamics with the VXEEM. Correlations increase in turbulent periods and decrease in tranquil periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Ihsan U. Badshah, 2018. "Volatility Spillover from the Fear Index to Developed and Emerging Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(1), pages 27-40, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:54:y:2018:i:1:p:27-40
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2016.1220294
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    Cited by:

    1. Sarwar, Ghulam, 2020. "Interrelations in market fears of U.S. and European equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    2. Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Pandemic‐induced fear and government policy response as a measure of uncertainty in the foreign exchange market: Evidence from (a)symmetric wild bootstrap likelihood ratio test," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(4), pages 361-379, October.
    3. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Dynamics and determinants of spillovers across the option-implied volatilities of US equities," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 257-264.
    4. Jihed Majdoub & Salim Ben Sassi & Azza Bejaoui, 2021. "Can fiat currencies really hedge Bitcoin? Evidence from dynamic short-term perspective," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 789-816, December.
    5. Marco Neffelli & Marina Resta, 2018. "Is VIX still the investor fear gauge? Evidence for the US and BRIC markets," Papers 1806.07556, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
    6. Dungey, Mardi & Islam, Raisul & Volkov, Vladimir, 2020. "Crisis transmission: Visualizing vulnerability," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    7. French, Joseph J. & Shin, Seungho & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Naka, Atsuyuki, 2024. "Uncertainty and international fund flows: A cross-country analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    8. Gong, Jue & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhou, Yang & Zhu, You & Xie, Chi & Foglia, Matteo, 2023. "Spreading of cross-market volatility information: Evidence from multiplex network analysis of volatility spillovers," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    9. Miralles-Quirós, José Luis & Miralles-Quirós, María Mar, 2019. "Are alternative energies a real alternative for investors?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 535-545.
    10. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Mudassar Hasan & Abraham Agyemang & Md Iftekhar Hasan Chowdhury & Faruk Balli, 2023. "Time‐frequency dynamics between fear connectedness of stocks and alternative assets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 2188-2201, April.
    11. Tissaoui, Kais & Zaghdoudi, Taha, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness between the U.S. financial market and Euro-Asian financial markets: Testing transmission of uncertainty through spatial regressions models," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 481-492.
    12. Chen, Chun-Da & Chiang, Shu-Mei & Huang, Tze-Chin, 2020. "The contagion effects of volatility indices across the U.S. and Europe," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    13. Di, Michael & Xu, Ke, 2022. "COVID-19 vaccine and post-pandemic recovery: Evidence from Bitcoin cross-asset implied volatility spillover," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    14. Chun, Dohyun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Forecasting the KOSPI200 spot volatility using various volatility measures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 514(C), pages 156-166.
    15. Badshah, Ihsan & Bekiros, Stelios & Lucey, Brian M. & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2018. "Asymmetric linkages among the fear index and emerging market volatility indices," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 17-31.
    16. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Farid, Saqib & Faruk, Balli & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Can happiness predict future volatility in stock markets?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    17. Wahab, Fatin Farhana & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Discerning lead-lag between fear index and realized volatility," MPRA Paper 79433, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Kim, Jungmu & Park, Yuen Jung & Ryu, Doojin, 2018. "Testing CEV stochastic volatility models using implied volatility index data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 499(C), pages 224-232.
    19. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "How fearful are commodities and US stocks in response to global fear? Persistence and cointegration analyses," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    20. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Saqib Farid & Fiza Qureshi & Farhad Taghizadeh‐Hesary, 2023. "Global factors and the transmission between United States and emerging stock markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3488-3510, October.
    21. Ebenezer Boateng & Emmanuel Asafo-Adjei & John Gartchie Gatsi & ªtefan Cristian Gherghina & Liliana Nicoleta Simionescu, 2022. "Multifrequency-based non-linear approach to analyzing implied volatility transmission across global financial markets," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(3), pages 699-743, September.
    22. Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Muhammad Arif & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Safwan Mohd Nor, 2020. "Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in the Connectedness of Cross-Country Stock Market Volatilities," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-17, October.
    23. Asgar Ali & K. N. Badhani, 2021. "Beta-Anomaly: Evidence from the Indian Equity Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 28(1), pages 55-78, March.
    24. M. Utku Özmen, 2019. "Economic complexity and sovereign risk premia," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(3), pages 1714-1726.

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