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Output Recovery after Financial Crises: An Empirical Study

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  • Chao Wan
  • Yuying Jin

Abstract

In this paper, we provide a characterization of output recovery after financial crises. Using data from eighty-one countries (regions) from 1975 to 2008, we first identify 182 currency crises by a modified EMP method and recognize 131 banking crises using the results from literature. With quantitative U-shaped and V-shaped recovery specified, we depict output recovery over the dimensions of output loss and duration and find that emerging markets tend to experience severe crises with speedy recoveries. Finally, we apply survival analysis to study the duration of recovery. The results indicate that certain factors, such as control of private sector credit, the degree of financial openness, and adjustment of the current account deficit, contribute to a speedy recovery after financial crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Chao Wan & Yuying Jin, 2014. "Output Recovery after Financial Crises: An Empirical Study," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(6), pages 209-228, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:50:y:2014:i:6:p:209-228
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2014.1011936
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    Cited by:

    1. Josef C. Brada & Jan KubÃ­Ä ek & Ali M. Kutan & Vladimír Tomšík, 2015. "Inflation Targeting: Insights from Behavioral Economics," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(5), pages 357-376, September.
    2. Mingjin Luo & Shenqguan Wang, 2023. "Financialization and sluggish recovery of firms' investment: Global evidence from the 2007–2008 financial crisis," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 344-363, December.
    3. Ryota Nakatani, 2019. "Output Costs of Currency Crisis and Banking Crisis: Shocks, Policies and Cycles," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 61(1), pages 83-102, March.
    4. Mirzaei, Ali & Al-Khouri, Ritab Salem Farhan, 2016. "The resilience of oil-rich economies to the global financial crisis: Evidence from Kuwaiti financial and real sectors," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 93-108.
    5. Emre Ozsoz & Mustapha Akinkunmi & Ismail Cagri Ay & Ademola Bamidele, 2017. "How Cbn Confronted The Meltdown: The Global Financial Crisis And The Central Bank Of Nigeria’S Response," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(01), pages 147-161, March.
    6. Halit Gonenc & Silviu Ursu, 2018. "The Asset Growth Effect and Investor Protection in Emerging Markets: The Role of the Global Financial Crisis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(3), pages 491-507, February.
    7. Han, Heejoon & Kutan, Ali M. & Ryu, Doojin, 2015. "Effects of the US stock market return and volatility on the VKOSPI," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 9, pages 1-34.
    8. Jin, Yuying & Luo, Mingjin & Wan, Chao, 2018. "Financial constraints, macro-financing environment and post-crisis recovery of firms," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 54-67.
    9. Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Gajdka, Jerzy & Kutan, Ali M., 2015. "Investor response to public news, sentiment and institutional trading in emerging markets: A review," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 338-352.
    10. Zhang, Dayong & Cao, Hong & Dickinson, David G. & Kutan, Ali M., 2016. "Free cash flows and overinvestment: Further evidence from Chinese energy firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 116-124.

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