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The Government Revenue–Expenditure Nexus in Southeast Europe: A Bootstrap Panel Granger-Causality Approach

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  • Biljana Tashevska
  • Borce Trenovski
  • Marija Trpkova - Nestorovska

Abstract

This article presents one of the first attempts to explore the relationship between government revenues and government expenditures in six Southeast European countries for the period 1999–2015, employing a bootstrap panel Granger-causality approach, which provides insight into the nature and direction of their relationship in each country. The empirical results indicate a unidirectional relationship from government revenues to government expenditures in five countries (Albania, Bulgaria, Croatia, Serbia, and Slovenia), confirming the revenue-expenditure or tax-spend hypothesis. The findings offer support for the fiscal synchronization hypothesis only in Macedonia, where bidirectional causality between government revenues and government expenditures was found.

Suggested Citation

  • Biljana Tashevska & Borce Trenovski & Marija Trpkova - Nestorovska, 2020. "The Government Revenue–Expenditure Nexus in Southeast Europe: A Bootstrap Panel Granger-Causality Approach," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(4), pages 309-326, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:eaeuec:v:58:y:2020:i:4:p:309-326
    DOI: 10.1080/00128775.2020.1724156
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    Cited by:

    1. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Siddiqui, Aaliyah & Ahmad, Shabbir & Jiao, Zhilun, 2023. "Financial development as a new determinant of energy diversification: The role of natural capital and structural changes in Australia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    2. Hung-Che Wu & Angela Legohérel, 2024. "Impacts of Symmetric and Asymmetric Tourism Activities on Economic Development: Evidence from China’s Provinces," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(2), pages 5359-5381, June.
    3. Krasnopeeva, Natalia, 2023. "Revenues and expenditures of Russian regional budgets: Granger causality analysis," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 70, pages 5-33.
    4. Golpe, Antonio A. & Sánchez-Fuentes, A. Jesus & Vides, José Carlos, 2023. "Fiscal sustainability, monetary policy and economic growth in the Euro Area: In search of the ultimate causal path," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1026-1045.
    5. Dervis Kirikkaleli & Bugra Ozbeser, 2023. "Government Expenditures and Tax Revenues in the United States of America," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, March.
    6. Emre BULUT & Dilek ÇİL, 2024. "Asymmetric Causality Relationship Between Public Expenditures and Tax Revenues: Transition Economies Case," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 32(60).
    7. Neha Rajput & G. S. Bhalla, 2024. "Testing the Relationship Between Income and Expenditure of a Statutory Organization: Cointegration and Causality Approach," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(1), pages 4338-4355, March.

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