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Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap in Slovakia

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  • Tetsuya Konuki

Abstract

This paper estimates potential output and the output gap for Slovakia, which has enjoyed rapid growth with few signs of economic overheating in recent years. The paper applies two broad sets of approaches: conventional methods, represented by a statistical method and a production function approach; and a multivariate (MV) Kalman filter method. The MV Kalman filter method produces estimates of excess demand that portray the situation in recent years in Slovakia much more sensibly than do the conventional methods because it can use more information to condition the paths of potential output.

Suggested Citation

  • Tetsuya Konuki, 2010. "Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap in Slovakia," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(2), pages 39-55, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:eaeuec:v:48:y:2010:i:2:p:39-55
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    Cited by:

    1. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Helmi, Mohamad Husam & Çatık, Abdurrahman Nazif & Menla Ali, Faek & Akdeniz, Coşkun, 2018. "Monetary policy rules in emerging countries: Is there an augmented nonlinear taylor rule?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 306-319.
    2. Devasmita Jena & Ishika Kataruka, 2022. "Monetary Response to Oil Price Shock in Asian Oil Importing Countries: Evaluation of Inflation Targeting Framework," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 20(4), pages 809-825, December.
    3. A D Adom, 2016. "Resilience of developing countries to shocks: Case study of WAEMU countries with SUR and VAR Approaches," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 21(2), pages 105-138, September.
    4. Éva Gyurkovics & Tibor Takács, 2023. "Estimation of the potential GDP by a new robust filter method," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 31(4), pages 1183-1207, December.
    5. Mellár, Tamás & Németh, Kristóf, 2018. "A kibocsátási rés becslése többváltozós állapottérmodellekben. Szuperhiszterézis és további empirikus eredmények [Estimating output gap in multivariate state space models. Super-hysteresis and furt," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 557-591.
    6. Pradeep, Siddhartha, 2022. "Impact of diesel price reforms on asymmetricity of oil price pass-through to inflation: Indian perspective," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    7. Kesavarajah Mayandy, 2019. "Monetary Policy Rules And Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence From Sri Lanka," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 485-506, December.
    8. Michael O’Grady, 2019. "Estimating the Output, Inflation and Unemployment Gaps in Ireland using Bayesian Model Averaging," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 50(1), pages 35-76.
    9. Gyurkovics, Éva & Takács, Tibor, 2022. "Robust energy-to-peak filter design for a class of unstable polytopic systems with a macroeconomic application," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 420(C).

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