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Jobless Growth in the Central and East European Countries: A Country-Specific Panel Data Analysis of the Manufacturing Industry

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  • Ozlem Onaran

Abstract

This paper estimates a labor demand equation based on the panel data of the manufacturing industries in the Central and East European countries of Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Lithuania, Bulgaria, and Romania. It tests the effect of domestic factors (wages and output) and international factors (exports, imports, and foreign direct investment, or FDI) on employment during the era of posttransition recovery. The findings indicate that employment does not respond to wages in more than half the cases. The output elasticity of labor demand is mostly positive, but low; in a number of cases, employment is completely delinked from output. An impressive speed of integration to the European economic sphere through FDI and international trade has not prevented job losses in the manufacturing industry. There are very few cases of positive effects, but insignificant effects of trade and FDI dominate the findings, with some evidence of negative effects as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozlem Onaran, 2008. "Jobless Growth in the Central and East European Countries: A Country-Specific Panel Data Analysis of the Manufacturing Industry," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(4), pages 90-115, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:eaeuec:v:46:y:2008:i:4:p:90-115
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sanjaya Kumar Malik, 2019. "Foreign Direct Investment and Employment in Indian Manufacturing Industries," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 62(4), pages 621-637, December.
    2. Özlem Onaran, 2008. "The Effects of Globalization on Wages, Employment, and Wage Share in Austria," Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft - WuG, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik, vol. 34(3), pages 337-360.
    3. Sandeep Kumar Kujur, 2018. "Impact of Technological Change on Employment: Evidence from the Organised Manufacturing Industry in India," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 61(2), pages 339-376, June.
    4. Claudius Gräbner-Radkowitsch & Dennis Tamesberger & Philipp Heimberger & Timo Kapelari & Jakob Kapeller, 2022. "Trade Models In The European Union," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 67(235), pages 7-36, October –.
    5. Lay, Jann & Tafese, Tevin, 2020. "Promoting private investment to create jobs: A review of the evidence," PEGNet Policy Studies 02/2020, PEGNet - Poverty Reduction, Equity and Growth Network, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    6. Lino P. Briguglio & Melchior Vella, 2015. "Labour demand in the EU and returns to scale: A production function approach," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(8), pages 1103-1116, December.
    7. Olu Ajakaiye & Afeikhena T. Jerome & David Nabena & Olufunke A. Alaba, 2015. "Understanding the relationship between growth and employment in Nigeria," WIDER Working Paper Series 124, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    8. Uros Delevic, . "Employment and state incentives in transition economies: are subsidies for FDI ineffective? The case of Serbia," UNCTAD Transnational Corporations Journal, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    9. Mondschean, Thomas & Oppenheimer, Margaret, 2011. "Regional Long-term and Short-term Unemployment and Education in Transition: The Case of Poland," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 23-48.
    10. Richard Kofi Asravor & Frank Gyimah Sackey, 2022. "Wage Price Floors and Sectoral Employment Outcomes in Ghana," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 65(1), pages 103-122, March.
    11. Asaf Ibne Salim & Syed Abul Basher, 2024. "Jobless growth: evidence from Bangladesh," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 26(2), pages 641-662, August.
    12. Markus Leibrecht & Michael Klien & Oezlem Onaran, 2011. "Globalization, welfare regimes and social protection expenditures in Western and Eastern European countries," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 148(3), pages 569-594, September.
    13. Mehmet Demiral & Ozge Demiral & Aizhan Khoich & Aigul Maidyrova, 2020. "Empirical Links between Global Value Chains,Trade and Unemployment," Montenegrin Journal of Economics, Economic Laboratory for Transition Research (ELIT), vol. 16(4), pages 95-107.
    14. El-hadj Bah & Josef C. Brada, 2014. "Labor Markets in the Transition Economies: An Overview," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 11(1), pages 3-53, June.
    15. Ha Thi Thanh Doan & Trinh Quang Long, 2019. "Technical Change, Exports, and Employment Growth in China: A Structural Decomposition Analysis," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 18(2), pages 28-46, Summer.
    16. World Bank Group, 2014. "Balancing Flexibility and Worker Protection," World Bank Publications - Reports 23024, The World Bank Group.
    17. Olu Ajakaiye & Afeikhena T. Jerome & David Nabena & Olufunke A. Alaba, 2015. "Understanding the relationship between growth and employment in Nigeria," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2015-124, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

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