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The Effect of Import on Export Growth and Convergence: A Spatial Analysis in Türkiye

Author

Listed:
  • Ömer Tarik Gençosmanoğlu

    (Ministry of Trade, Ankara, Republic of Türkiye)

  • Kemal Buğra Yamanoğlu

    (Ministry of Trade, Ankara, Republic of Türkiye)

Abstract

Recent studies tend to scrutinize the convergence and growth patterns of various socioeconomic variables among countries or regions, as well as their per capita income. This study as a new approach examines the growth rate and convergence inclination of real per capita exports among the 81 provinces of Türkiye for the period 2004-2021. The role of imports and their subcategories (intermediate, capital, and consumer goods) is also considered in this context. The results of the non-spatial panel model show that real per capita exports converge among provinces in both absolute and conditional terms. On the other hand, while total imports as well as imports of intermediate goods and capital goods contribute to export growth and convergence of the provinces, imports of consumer goods have no effect. According to the results, spatial interaction among provinces is notable. The results do not change significantly depending on the estimates of the DSAR model (Dynamic Spatial Autoregressive Model), identified as the appropriate specification.

Suggested Citation

  • Ömer Tarik Gençosmanoğlu & Kemal Buğra Yamanoğlu, 2023. "The Effect of Import on Export Growth and Convergence: A Spatial Analysis in Türkiye," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 9(2), pages 141-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:men:journl:v:9:y:2023:i:2:p:141-164
    DOI: 10.11118/ejobsat.2023.011
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jülide Yildirim & Nadir Öcal & Süheyla Özyildirim, 2009. "Income Inequality and Economic Convergence in Turkey: A Spatial Effect Analysis," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 32(2), pages 221-254, April.
    2. Jeffrey A. Frankel & David Romer, 1996. "Trade and Growth: An Empirical Investigation," NBER Working Papers 5476, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Federico Belotti & Gordon Hughes & Andrea Piano Mortari, 2017. "Spatial panel-data models using Stata," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 17(1), pages 139-180, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    spatial econometrics; convergence; export; import;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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