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International Evidence on a New Keynesian Theory of the Output-Inflation Trade-Off

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  • DeFina, Robert H

Abstract

This article provides empirical evidence on the validity of a "New Keynesian" theory of the output-inflation tradeoff. The theory, offered by Laurence Ball, N. Gregory Mankiw, and David Romer (1988), synthesizes recent work on "menu costs" and imperfect competition used to ground Keynesian theory in maximizing behavior. The present paper focuses on a key prediction, namely, that higher average inflation makes output less sensitive to nominal shocks. That proposition is tested using data for each of forty-three countries. Importantly, average inflation is found to have the predicted effect in a significant fraction of those countries, an outcome which supports the New Keynesian view. Copyright 1991 by Ohio State University Press.

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  • DeFina, Robert H, 1991. "International Evidence on a New Keynesian Theory of the Output-Inflation Trade-Off," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 23(3), pages 410-422, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:23:y:1991:i:3:p:410-22
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Amano & Donald Coletti & Tiff Macklem, 1998. "Monetary rules when economic behaviour changes," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
    2. Laurence Ball & Sandeep Mazumder, 2011. "Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 42(1 (Spring), pages 337-405.
    3. Loungani, Prakash & Razin, Assaf & Yuen, Chi-Wa, 2001. "Capital mobility and the output-inflation tradeoff," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 255-274, February.
    4. Sim, Chong Yang, 2021. "A Review on Output-Inflation Trade-off Based on New Classical and New Keynesian Theories," MPRA Paper 105767, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Emmanuel De Veirman & Andrew Levin, 2018. "Cyclical Changes in Firm Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2-3), pages 317-349, March.
    6. Emmanuel De Veirman, 2022. "How Does the Phillips Curve Slope Vary with Repricing Rates?," Working Papers 735, DNB.
    7. Kiley, Michael T, 2000. "Endogenous Price Stickiness and Business Cycle Persistence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(1), pages 28-53, February.
    8. George Katsimbris & Stephen Miller, 1996. "The new Keynesian economics and the output-inflation trade-off," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(9), pages 599-602.
    9. Koelln, Kenneth & Rush, Mark & Waldo, Doug, 1996. "Do government policy multipliers decrease with inflation?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 495-505, December.
    10. Andrejs Bessonovs & Olegs Tkacevs, 2016. "Relationship Between Inflation and Economic Activity and Its Variation Over Time in Latvia," Working Papers 2016/03, Latvijas Banka.
    11. Loo, Clifton Mark & Lastrapes, William D., 1998. "Identifying the Effects of Money Supply Shocks on Industry-Level Output," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 431-449, July.
    12. Kenneth R. Szulczyk & Changyong Zhang, 2020. "Switching-regime regression for modeling and predicting a stock market return," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2385-2403, November.
    13. Emmanuel De Veirman, 2009. "What Makes the Output-Inflation Trade-Off Change? The Absence of Accelerating Deflation in Japan," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(6), pages 1117-1140, September.
    14. Abbott, Brant & Martínez, Cristina, 2008. "An updated assessment of the Lucas supply curve and the inflation-output trade-off," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 101(3), pages 199-201, December.
    15. Nilss Olekalns, 1995. "The Effect of Nominal Demand Shocks on Manufacturing Output: Evidence from Disaggregated Australian Data," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 71(1), pages 66-76, March.
    16. Emmanuel De Veirman, 2009. "What Makes the Output-Inflation Trade-Off Change? The Absence of Accelerating Deflation in Japan," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(6), pages 1117-1140, September.
    17. Nishizaki, Kenji & Watanabe, Tsutomu, 2000. "Output-Inflation Trade-Off at Near-Zero Inflation Rates," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 304-326, December.
    18. Hashmat Khan, 2004. "Price stickiness, trend inflation, and output dynamics: a cross‐country analysis," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 999-1020, November.
    19. Rongrong Sun, 2014. "Nominal rigidity and some new evidence on the New Keynesian theory of the output-inflation tradeoff," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 575-597, December.
    20. Ndou, Eliphas & Gumata, Nombulelo, 2024. "Should the South African Reserve Bank lower the inflation target band? Insights from the GDP-inflation nexus," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 638-654.
    21. Sharif, Bushra & Qayyum, Abdul, 2018. "Estimating the Inflation-Output Gap Trade-Off with Triangle Model in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 91166, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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