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Volatility Spillover among Industries in the Capital Market in Iran

Author

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  • Botshekan , Mohamad Hashem

    (Allameh Tabataba’i University)

  • Mohseni , Hosein

    (Allameh Tabataba’i University)

Abstract

Measuring the dynamic relationship between banking and industries with systemic importance has attracted much attention after the recent financial crisis. This paper examines the dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover using three popular multivariate GARCH models in the twelve-year period (from the beginning of 2005 to the beginning of 2016) among the fourteen systemically important industries in Iran’s capital market. The purpose of this study is to understand and identify the volatility spillover between industries to predict financial fluctuations, as well as policy decisions and risk management. The results of this study confirm the spillover between “Banking” and the five industries of "Basic Metals", "Industrial Multidisciplinary", "Investments", "Computers", and "Transportation & Warehousing". There is also an asymmetric spillover between “Banking” index and the "Chemical Industry", the "Extraction of Metal Ores", "Pharmaceuticals" and "Communications Devices". The results are used for mapping fundamental analysis and risk programming.

Suggested Citation

  • Botshekan , Mohamad Hashem & Mohseni , Hosein, 2017. "Volatility Spillover among Industries in the Capital Market in Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 12(2), pages 213-233, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:mbr:jmonec:v:12:y:2017:i:2:p:213-233
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility Spillover; Dynamic Conditional Correlation; Banking Industries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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