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Die finanzielle Entwicklung der Gesetzlichen Rentenversicherung – Simulationsrechnungen mit dem Rentensimulationsmodell MEA-Pensim

Author

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  • Gasche Martin

    (Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) am Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy, Amalienstraße 33, 80799 München)

  • Holthausen Annette

    (Universität Mannheim, L 13, 17, 68131 Mannheim)

  • Rausch Johannes

    (Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) am Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy, Amalienstraße 33, 80799 München)

  • Wilke Christina

    (Hamburgisches WeltWirtschaftsInstitut (HWWI), NL Bremen, Fahrenheitstr. 1, 28359 Bremen)

Abstract

Against the background of the demographic trend the German Pension System is faced with the question of its financial sustainability. In order to predict future developments or potential reforms we apply a simulation model for the German Pension System (MEA-pensim), which enables us to replicate the pension system including all its crucial determinants (i. e. the population and the labour market). We present the model and discuss some selected simulations like the effect of different population and labour market developments on the contribution rate as well as the benefit level or the impacts of the proposal by the federal government to extend the supplementary period (Zurechnungszeit) for disability pensions.

Suggested Citation

  • Gasche Martin & Holthausen Annette & Rausch Johannes & Wilke Christina, 2012. "Die finanzielle Entwicklung der Gesetzlichen Rentenversicherung – Simulationsrechnungen mit dem Rentensimulationsmodell MEA-Pensim," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 61(3), pages 337-380, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:lus:zwipol:v:61:y:2012:i:3:p:337-380
    DOI: 10.1515/zfwp-2012-0310
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    Cited by:

    1. Börsch-Supan, Axel & Bucher-Koenen, Tabea & Kluth, Sebastian & Haupt, Marlene & Goll, Nicolas, 2015. "Vor- und Nachteile höherer Flexibilität als Instrument zur Erhöhung der Beschäftigung Älterer," MEA discussion paper series 201506, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.

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