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The financial costs of terrorism: evidence from Germany

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  • Jamal Bouoiyour, Refk Selmi

Abstract

Although the physical and emotional costs of terrorism are widely known, the financial price of terror attacks is still obscure. This paper seeks to examine the heightened uncertainty surrounding terror attacks across the two Germany’s largest and most visited cities (in particular, Berlin and Munich) to shed some light on the reactions of disaggregated German stock market to those unforeseen events. We robustly find that the impact of terrorism varies across sectors. The Berlin attack causes substantial German stock price moves. The airline, hotels, leisure and communication services were harmfully influenced to those events. Nevertheless, the banking and financial services and defense were weakly affected. More importantly, the German stock market has proven a sharp resilience and a prompt and efficient adaptation. The investors’ cognizance of the Germany’s modern greatly diversified, and highly competitive economy and the higher institutional quality have allowed to appropriately dealing with adverse consequences associated with terrorist attacks.

Suggested Citation

  • Jamal Bouoiyour, Refk Selmi, 2021. "The financial costs of terrorism: evidence from Germany," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 18(1), pages 87-104, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:liu:liucej:v:18:y:2021:i:1:p:87-104
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Terrorism; The German stock market; Sectoral-level analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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