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Vernon és a számítógép. Az információs technológiai forradalom és a termékciklus-hipotézis összefüggései
[Vernon and the computer. Connections between the information technology revolution and the product-cycle hypothesis]

Author

Listed:
  • Székely-Doby, András

Abstract

Dolgozatunkban azt vizsgáljuk, hogy a Vernon-féle termékciklus-hipotézis mennyiben képes magyarázni az amerikai hardverszektor elmúlt évtizedekben tapasztalt jellegzetességeit. Makrogazdasági adatok és a transznacionális társaságok tevékenységét bemutató statisztikai idősorok elemzéséből kiderül, hogy bár egyes területeken (mint például a számítógépek gyártása) az eredeti hipotézis lényegében megállja a helyét, más területeken kevéssé jellemzi az elmúlt évtizedek fejleményeit. Az elmélet magyarázóereje azonban növelhető, ha a gondolatokat dinamikusan értelmezzük, azaz az iparágak hosszabb távú viselkedését, valamint egymásra hatását is vizsgáljuk. Így egyrészt azt tapasztaljuk, hogy a különböző iparágak az új gazdaság térhódításával kölcsönhatásba lépnek, megtermékenyítik, sőt, igen gyakran teljesen át is alakítják egymást, másrészt egyes iparágakon belül a technológiai fejlődés hatására újabb vernoni ciklusok keletkezhetnek, amelyek a régire mintegy rárakódva képesek megújítani az adott iparágat. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: F23.

Suggested Citation

  • Székely-Doby, András, 2006. "Vernon és a számítógép. Az információs technológiai forradalom és a termékciklus-hipotézis összefüggései [Vernon and the computer. Connections between the information technology revolution and the ," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 812-826.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:869
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Szalavetz, Andrea, 2002. "Az informatikai szektor és a felzárkózó gazdaságok [The informatics sector and the advancing economies]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 794-804.
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    3. Raymond Vernon, 1966. "International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 80(2), pages 190-207.
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    5. Vernon, Raymond, 1979. "The Product Cycle Hypothesis in a New International Environment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 41(4), pages 255-267, November.
    6. Krugman, Paul, 1979. "A Model of Innovation, Technology Transfer, and the World Distribution of Income," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(2), pages 253-266, April.
    7. Kiley, Michael T., 2001. "Computers and growth with frictions: aggregate and disaggregate evidence," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 171-215, December.
    8. Szanyi, Miklós, 1997. "Elmélet és gyakorlat a nemzetközi működőtőke-áramlás vizsgálatában [Theory and practice in the analysis of international direct capital flows]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 488-508.
    9. Szalavetz, Andrea, 2004. "Technológiai fejlődés, szakosodás, komplementaritás, szerkezetátalakulás [Technological development, technological complementarity and structural change]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 362-378.
    10. Martin Neil Baily, 2002. "Distinguished Lecture on Economics in Government: The New Economy: Post Mortem or Second Wind?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 3-22, Spring.
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    JEL classification:

    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business

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