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Kamatátgyűrűzés Magyarországon
[Interest rate pass-through in Hungary (1997-2004)]

Author

Listed:
  • Naszódi, Anna
  • Krekó, Judit
  • Horváth, Csilla

Abstract

Elemzésünkben hibakorrekciós modellek segítségével vizsgáljuk a piaci hozamok és a banki forinthitel- és forintbetéti kamatok közötti transzmissziót az 1997-2004-as periódusra - mind aggregált, mind egyedi banki adatokra vonatkozóan. Lineáris modellünk alapján a rövid lejáratú vállalati hitelek piacán az alkalmazkodás hosszú távon teljes és viszonylag gyorsnak tekinthető. A többi részpiacot azonban részleges és/vagy lassú átárazási magatartás jellemzi, elsősorban a fogyasztási hitelek és lakossági lekötött betétek kamata tűnik ragadósnak. A bankok átárazására vonatkozó esetleges nemlinearitásokat is vizsgáltuk. Eredményeink szerint a banki kamatok alkalmazkodása függ az egyensúlyi értéktől való eltérés, valamint a hozamváltozás mértékétől. Az átárazás szignifikánsan gyorsabbnak bizonyul egy bizonyos küszöbérték felett, amit a menüköltségek jelenléte indokolhat. Az átárazás sebességét a hozamsokkok iránya is befolyásolja: azt találtuk, hogy a vállalati hitelkamatok lefelé ragadósabbak. A profitmaximalizáló bankok várt viselkedésével ellentétben azonban eredményeink szerint a lakossági betétek a hozamemelkedésre gyorsabban reagálnak, mint a hozamcsökkenésekre. Az eredményekre azonban magyarázatot adhat az a tény, hogy a hozamemelkedések mértéke az elemzett időszakban átlagosan nagyobb volt, mint a hozamcsökkenéseké. Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: E43, E52, G21.

Suggested Citation

  • Naszódi, Anna & Krekó, Judit & Horváth, Csilla, 2005. "Kamatátgyűrűzés Magyarországon [Interest rate pass-through in Hungary (1997-2004)]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 356-376.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:757
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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