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Gazdasági növekedés, felzárkózás és költségvetési politika egy kis, nyitott gazdaságban
[Economic growth, catching up and budgetary policy in a small economy]

Author

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  • Valentinyi, Ákos

Abstract

A tanulmány a költségvetési politika hatásait elemzi a hosszú távú jövedelemszintre és az ehhez a szinthez való konvergenciára egy kis, nyitott gazdaság általános egyensúlyi modelljében mind a kvalitatív, mind a kvantitatív megközelítésben. Eredményeinket a következőkben foglalhatjuk össze. 1. A gazdaság hosszú távú relatív jövedelemszintjét az adóterhek lényegesen befolyásolják. A számszerűsített modell szerint a munkabér-, illetve a tőkejövedelmek adóterheinek 2 százalékpontos különbsége hosszú távon az egy főre jutó GDP 3-5 százalékpontos különbségéhez vezet. 2. A hosszú távú jövedelemszintet közvetlenül az átlagos adóterhek befolyásolják, nem pedig a költségvetési kiadások nagysága. Ha két gazdaságban a kormányzati kiadások azonosak, de az egyikben a fogyasztási adóknak nagyobb a szerepe, vagy a munkabér adóterhei kisebbek, akkor abban a gazdaságban a hosszú távú jövedelemszint magasabb lesz. 3. Ha egy gazdaság jövedelemszintje fele a hosszú távú jövedelemszintjének, akkor a számszerűsített modell szerint az aktuális gazdasági növekedés valamivel több, mint 4 százalék. Ezért nem valószínű, hogy a magyar gazdaság, amelynek jövedelemszintje jelenleg az EU-átlagnak közel a fele, tartósan 4-5 százaléknál gyorsabb ütemben növekedjen.

Suggested Citation

  • Valentinyi, Ákos, 2000. "Gazdasági növekedés, felzárkózás és költségvetési politika egy kis, nyitott gazdaságban [Economic growth, catching up and budgetary policy in a small economy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 391-410.
    • Handle: RePEc:ksa:szemle:328
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Simon, György, 2001. "Növekedési mechanizmus - növekedési modell [Growth mechanism - growth model]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(3), pages 185-202.
    2. Szilágyi, Katalin & Major, Klára, 2007. "Kormányzati beruházás kis, nyitott gazdaságban [Government investment in a small open economy]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 29-48.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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