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Local volatility calibration during turbulent periods

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  • Konstantinos Skindilias
  • Chia Lo

Abstract

We propose a methodology to calibrate the local volatility function under a continuous time setting. For this purpose, we used the Markov chain approximation method built on the well-established idea of local consistency. The chain was designed to approximate jump–diffusions coupled with a local volatility function. We found that this method outperforms traditional numerical algorithms that require time discretization. Furthermore, we showed that a local volatility jump–diffusion model outperformed the in- and out-of-sample pricing that the market practitioners benchmark, namely the Practitioners Black–Scholes, in turbulent periods during which at-the-money implied volatilities have risen substantially. Hedging experiments show a moderate portfolio risk under the local volatility jump–diffusion case. As in previous literature concerning local volatility estimation, we represent the local volatility function using a space-time cubic spline. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Konstantinos Skindilias & Chia Lo, 2015. "Local volatility calibration during turbulent periods," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 425-444, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:44:y:2015:i:3:p:425-444
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-013-0412-6
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Markov chain approximation; Local volatility; Jump–diffusions; Cubic splines; Option pricing; Hedging; C65; G13;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C65 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Miscellaneous Mathematical Tools
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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