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Do analysts overreact to extreme good news in earnings?

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  • Zhaoyang Gu
  • Jian Xue

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Zhaoyang Gu & Jian Xue, 2007. "Do analysts overreact to extreme good news in earnings?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 29(4), pages 415-431, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:29:y:2007:i:4:p:415-431
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-007-0037-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Han, Bong H & Manry, David & Shaw, Wayne, 2001. "Improving the Precision of Analysts' Earnings Forecasts by Adjusting for Predictable Bias," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 81-98, July.
    2. Harrison Hong & Jeremy C. Stein, 1999. "A Unified Theory of Underreaction, Momentum Trading, and Overreaction in Asset Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(6), pages 2143-2184, December.
    3. Karl B. Diether & Christopher J. Malloy & Anna Scherbina, 2002. "Differences of Opinion and the Cross Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2113-2141, October.
    4. Machuga, Susan M & Pfeiffer, Ray J, Jr & Verma, Kiran, 2002. "Economic Value Added, Future Accounting Earnings, and Financial Analysts' Earnings Per Share Forecasts," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 59-73, January.
    5. Barberis, Nicholas & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert, 1998. "A model of investor sentiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 307-343, September.
    6. Mest, David P & Plummer, Elizabeth, 2003. "Analysts' Rationality and Forecast Bias: Evidence from Sales Forecasts," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 103-122, September.
    7. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard H, 1990. "Do Security Analysts Overreact?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(2), pages 52-57, May.
    8. Gu, Zhaoyang & Wu, Joanna Shuang, 2003. "Earnings skewness and analyst forecast bias," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 5-29, April.
    9. David Hirshleifer, 2001. "Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1533-1597, August.
    10. repec:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:6:p:1839-1885 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. McNichols, M & O'Brien, PC, 1997. "Self-selection and analyst coverage," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35, pages 167-199.
    12. Dennis Fan & Raymond So & Jason Yeh, 2006. "Analyst Earnings Forecasts for Publicly Traded Insurance Companies," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 105-136, March.
    13. Rachel M. Hayes & Carolyn B. Levine, 2000. "An Approach to Adjusting Analysts' Consensus Forecasts for Selection Bias," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(1), pages 61-83, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. K. C. Kenneth Chu & W. H. Sophia Zhai, 2021. "Distress risk puzzle and analyst forecast optimism," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 429-460, August.
    2. Low, Rand Kwong Yew & Tan, Enoch, 2016. "The role of analyst forecasts in the momentum effect," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 67-84.
    3. Leppin, Julian Sebstian, 2014. "The Relation Between Overreaction in Forecasts and Uncertainty: A Nonlinear Approach," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100284, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. April Knill & Kristina Minnick & Ali Nejadmalayeri, 2012. "Experience, information asymmetry, and rational forecast bias," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 241-272, August.
    5. Ryan D. Leece & Todd P. White, 2017. "The effects of firms’ information environment on analysts’ herding behavior," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 503-525, February.
    6. Bruno Deschamps, 2015. "Are aggregate corporate earnings forecasts unbiased and efficient?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 803-818, November.
    7. Greg Filbeck & Xin Zhao & Ryan Knoll, 2017. "An analysis of working capital efficiency and shareholder return," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 48(1), pages 265-288, January.
    8. Raj Aggarwal & Brian M. Lucey & Fergal A. O'Connor, 2014. "Rationality in Precious Metals Forward Markets: Evidence of Behavioural Deviations in the Gold Markets," The Institute for International Integration Studies Discussion Paper Series iiisdp462, IIIS.
    9. Leppin, Julian Sebastian, 2014. "The relation between overreaction in forecasts and uncertainty: A nonlinear approachvon," HWWI Research Papers 158, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    10. Taoufik Elkemali, 2023. "Uncertainty and Financial Analysts’ Optimism: A Comparison between High-Tech and Low-Tech European Firms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-22, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial analysts; Earnings forecast; Underreaction; Overreaction; Forecast bias; G29; M41;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G29 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Other
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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