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An Analysis of the Underreported Magnitude of the Total Indirect Costs of Financial Distress

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  • Chen, G M
  • Merville, L J

Abstract

In this paper we examine 1,041 ongoing firms over the time period 1982-92. Using quarterly data for the detection and measurement of the magnitude of the indirect costs of financial distress, we find three important explanatory factors: (a) the distinctiveness of the pattern of increasing financial distress over time, (b) the degree of leverage in the capital structure and (c) the size of the firm. For those firms with a distinctive pattern of increasing financial distress over time, the average annual losses as a percentage of market value is -10.3 percent. The maximum loss is -76 percent. Even if the firm never fails, its market value can be severely impacted by the presence of the indirect costs of bankruptcy over time. This study finds a significantly positive relationship between Altman's Z-score and the firm capital investment growth rate. This relation holds after controlling for other variables such as leverage, firm size and market/book ratio. This implies that lost investment opportunities may be also an important part of the total indirect costs of financial distress, which appear now to be much larger than previously recorded. Copyright 1999 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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  • Chen, G M & Merville, L J, 1999. "An Analysis of the Underreported Magnitude of the Total Indirect Costs of Financial Distress," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 277-293, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:13:y:1999:i:3:p:277-93
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    Cited by:

    1. Ahsan Habib & Mabel D' Costa & Hedy Jiaying Huang & Md. Borhan Uddin Bhuiyan & Li Sun, 2020. "Determinants and consequences of financial distress: review of the empirical literature," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(S1), pages 1023-1075, April.
    2. ElBannan, Mona A., 2021. "On the prediction of financial distress in emerging markets: What matters more? Empirical evidence from Arab spring countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    3. Liu, Yin & Neely, Pamela & Karim, Khondkar, 2022. "The impact of CFO gender on corporate overinvestment," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    4. Naohisa Goto & Konari Uchida, 2012. "How do banks resolve firms’ financial distress? Evidence from Japan," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 38(4), pages 455-478, May.
    5. Gupta, Jairaj & Chaudhry, Sajid, 2019. "Mind the tail, or risk to fail," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 167-185.
    6. Sanjiva Prasad & Christopher J. Green & Victor Murinde, 2001. "Company Financing, Captial Structure, and Ownership: A Survey, and Implications for Developing Economies," SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum, number 12 edited by Morten Balling, May.
    7. Sanjiva Prasad & Christopher J. Green & Victor Murinde, 2005. "Company Financial Structure: A Survey and Implications for Developing Economies," Chapters, in: Christopher J. Green & Colin Kirkpatrick & Victor Murinde (ed.), Finance and Development, chapter 12, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    8. Lutz Hahnenstein & Klaus Röder, 2007. "Who hedges more when leverage is endogenous? A testable theory of corporate risk management under general distributional conditions," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 28(4), pages 353-391, May.
    9. Sumaira Ashraf & Elisabete G. S. Félix & Zélia Serrasqueiro, 2019. "Do Traditional Financial Distress Prediction Models Predict the Early Warning Signs of Financial Distress?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, April.
    10. Ender Coskun & Abdulvahap Ozcan, 2016. "Finansal Sikinti Surecinde Sirketlerin Etkinlik Duzeylerinin Belirlenmesi," EconWorld Working Papers 16001, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, revised Apr 2016.

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