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The Effects of Past Entry, Market Consolidation, and Expansion by Incumbents on the Probability of Entry in Banking

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  • Robert Adams
  • Dean Amel

Abstract

We extend previous research on the determinants of entry into local banking markets. In addition to the variables that have been considered by past research, we consider the correlation of entry with past entry and strategic barriers to entry such as changes in incumbent branching, the presence of small incumbent firms, and market concentration. The analysis defines entry more broadly than has past research by including branch expansion by existing firms. We find significant negative relationships between entry and strategic barriers to entry. Sensitivity analyses find that large changes in the explanatory variables are needed to cause substantial changes in the probability of entry into markets. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York (outside the USA) 2016

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Adams & Dean Amel, 2016. "The Effects of Past Entry, Market Consolidation, and Expansion by Incumbents on the Probability of Entry in Banking," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 48(1), pages 95-118, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:revind:v:48:y:2016:i:1:p:95-118
    DOI: 10.1007/s11151-015-9483-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert M. Adams & Kenneth P. Brevoort & Elizabeth K. Kiser, 2007. "Who Competes With Whom? The Case Of Depository Institutions," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(1), pages 141-167, March.
    2. Cohen, Andrew, 2004. "Market structure and market definition: the case of small market banks and thrifts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(1), pages 77-83, October.
    3. Bresnahan, Timothy F & Reiss, Peter C, 1991. "Entry and Competition in Concentrated Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 99(5), pages 977-1009, October.
    4. Allen N. Berger & Astrid A. Dick, 2007. "Entry into Banking Markets and the Early-Mover Advantage," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(4), pages 775-807, June.
    5. Astrid A. Dick, 2007. "Market Size, Service Quality, and Competition in Banking," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(1), pages 49-81, February.
    6. Allen N. Berger & Seth D. Bonime & Lawrence G. Goldberg & Lawrence J. White, 2004. "The Dynamics of Market Entry: The Effects of Mergers and Acquisitions on Entry in the Banking Industry," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 77(4), pages 797-834, October.
    7. William R. Keeton, 2000. "Are mergers responsible for the surge in new bank charters?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 85(Q I), pages 21-41.
    8. Andrew M. Cohen, 2004. "Market structure and market definition: the case of small market banks and thrifts," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-02, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    Cited by:

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    2. Coccorese, Paolo & Ferri, Giovanni, 2019. "Is competition among cooperative banks a negative sum game?," Journal of Institutional Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(4), pages 673-694, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank branching; Barriers to entry; Entry in banking; New bank charters; Strategic entry barriers; E44; E52; G32; L1;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • L1 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance

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