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Did Hayek have a monetary theory of business cycles?

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  • Gerald O’Driscoll
  • Douglas Rasmussen

Abstract

Joseph Schumpeter, a careful reader of Hayek, categorized Hayek’s theory of economic cycles as non-monetary. Almost every other source, including Hayek himself, categorized the theory as monetary. The issue turns on the concept of causality being used. The question of what causality concept to apply to complex phenomena has substantive implications for economic theory. A simple concept of causality, appropriate to the study of some physical phenomena, will mislead when applied to complex phenomena. We provide examples of errors in analysis that follow from the wrong choice of a causal paradigm. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Gerald O’Driscoll & Douglas Rasmussen, 2012. "Did Hayek have a monetary theory of business cycles?," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 25(3), pages 255-262, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:revaec:v:25:y:2012:i:3:p:255-262
    DOI: 10.1007/s11138-011-0162-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "Varieties of Crises and Their Dates," Introductory Chapters, in: This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, Princeton University Press.
    2. Reinhart, Karmen & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2009. ""This time is different": panorama of eight centuries of financial crises," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 1, pages 77-114, March.
    3. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2014. "This Time is Different: A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 15(2), pages 215-268, November.
    4. Timothy J. Kehoe & Edward C. Prescott, 2002. "Great Depressions of the Twentieth Century," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-18, January.
    5. Timothy J. Kehoe & Edward C. Prescott, 2007. "Great depressions of the twentieth century," Monograph, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 2007gdott.
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    Cited by:

    1. Raymond C. Niles, 2017. "The unresolved problem of gratuitous credit in Austrian banking theory," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 30(1), pages 83-105, March.
    2. Martin Komrska & Marek Hudík, 2016. "Hayek’s monetary theory and policy: A note on alleged inconsistency," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 29(1), pages 85-92, March.
    3. Randall G. Holcombe, 2017. "Malinvestment," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 30(2), pages 153-167, June.
    4. Martin Komrska & Marek Hudík, 2014. "Were Hayek?s Monetary Policy Recommendations Inconsistent?," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 0402133, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Money; Cycles; Causality; Hayek; Mises; Schumpeter; Sargent; Real business cycle theory; B22; B25; E32; E43;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
    • B25 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Historical; Institutional; Evolutionary; Austrian; Stockholm School
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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