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A Re-examination of an Irish Popularity Function

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  • Harrison, Michael J
  • Marsh, Michael

Abstract

This paper focuses on replication in the sense of P. S. Herrnson (1995). It reexamines the only study of an Irish popularity function (V. Borooah and V. Borooah, 1990) in the light of recent developments in econometric methodology and in Irish politics. Using error correction models, the analysis provides an alternative account of the relationship between economics and government popularity to that provided by Borooah and Borooah. The findings indicate that the short-term impact of the economy is weaker than, and different from, that suggested by them. Economic influences at most set the general level of government approval rather than determine the quarter-by-quarter fluctuations. Copyright 1998 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Suggested Citation

  • Harrison, Michael J & Marsh, Michael, 1998. "A Re-examination of an Irish Popularity Function," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 94(3-4), pages 367-383, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:94:y:1998:i:3-4:p:367-83
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    Cited by:

    1. Reinhard Neck & Friedrich Schneider, 2024. "The popularity function: a spurious regression? The case of Austria," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(1), pages 298-329, February.
    2. Quinlan, Stephen & Lewis-Beck, Michael S., 2021. "Forecasting government support in Irish general elections: Opinion polls and structural models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1654-1665.
    3. Chun‐ping Chang & Yung‐hsiang Ying & Meng‐chi Hsieh, 2009. "Impact Of Macroeconomic Conditions On Government Popularity: An Ecowas Investigation," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 77(1), pages 28-44, March.

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