IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/jrefec/v63y2021i4d10.1007_s11146-020-09792-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Are Pricier Houses Less Risky? Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Jianhua Gang

    (Renmin University of China)

  • Liang Peng

    (The Pennsylvania State University)

  • Jinfan Zhang

    (Chinese University of Hong Kong (Shenzhen))

Abstract

Houses are the largest component of most households’ wealth and their risk is important. Recent research shows that pricier houses have lower price appreciation risk. This relationship can be due to competing reasons: risk is related to the price level, or risk is related to location-related features that are reflected in prices. This paper disentangles these two relationships by analyzing condo data from China with a special feature: Condos in the same subdivision have identical location but different prices. Our results indicate that larger and pricier condos are less risky than smaller ones in the same location. Furthermore, for condos with the same size, those with higher price per square meter are less risky. These results seem to indicate that pricier houses are less risky not due to location-related features that are reflected in prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Jianhua Gang & Liang Peng & Jinfan Zhang, 2021. "Are Pricier Houses Less Risky? Evidence from China," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 662-677, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:63:y:2021:i:4:d:10.1007_s11146-020-09792-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-020-09792-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11146-020-09792-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11146-020-09792-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Grossman, Sanford J & Laroque, Guy, 1990. "Asset Pricing and Optimal Portfolio Choice in the Presence of Illiquid Durable Consumption Goods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(1), pages 25-51, January.
    2. Raj Chetty & Adam Szeidl, 2007. "Consumption Commitments and Risk Preferences," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 122(2), pages 831-877.
    3. Raj Chetty & László Sándor & Adam Szeidl, 2017. "The Effect of Housing on Portfolio Choice," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(3), pages 1171-1212, June.
    4. Joao F. Cocco, 2005. "Portfolio Choice in the Presence of Housing," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(2), pages 535-567.
    5. Lu Han, 2013. "Understanding the Puzzling Risk-Return Relationship for Housing," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(4), pages 877-928.
    6. Cochrane, John H., 2005. "The risk and return of venture capital," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 3-52, January.
    7. Liang Peng & Thomas Thibodeau, 2013. "Risk Segmentation of American Homes: Evidence from Denver," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 41(3), pages 569-599, September.
    8. William N. Goetzmann & Liang Peng, 2002. "The Bias of the RSR Estimator and the Accuracy of Some Alternatives," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 30(1), pages 13-39.
    9. William Goetzmann & Liang Peng & Jacqueline Yen, 2012. "The Subprime Crisis and House Price Appreciation," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 36-66, January.
    10. Brueckner, Jan K, 1997. "Consumption and Investment Motives and the Portfolio Choices of Homeowners," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 159-180, October.
    11. Yamashita, Takashi, 2003. "Owner-occupied housing and investment in stocks: an empirical test," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 220-237, March.
    12. Marjorie Flavin & Takashi Yamashita, 2002. "Owner-Occupied Housing and the Composition of the Household Portfolio," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(1), pages 345-362, March.
    13. Driessen, Joost & Lin, Tse-Chun & Phalippou, Ludovic, 2012. "A New Method to Estimate Risk and Return of Nontraded Assets from Cash Flows: The Case of Private Equity Funds," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(3), pages 511-535, June.
    14. Ying Li & Eric Rosenblatt, 1997. "Can Urban Indicators Predict Home Price Appreciation? Implications for Redlining Research," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 25(1), pages 81-104, March.
    15. Fratantoni, Michael C., 1998. "Homeownership and Investment in Risky Assets," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 27-42, July.
    16. Liang Peng & Thomas G. Thibodeau, 2017. "Idiosyncratic Risk of House Prices: Evidence from 26 Million Home Sales," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 45(2), pages 340-375, April.
    17. Rui Yao, 2005. "Optimal Consumption and Portfolio Choices with Risky Housing and Borrowing Constraints," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(1), pages 197-239.
    18. Ambrose, Brent W & Buttimer, Richard & Thibodeau, Thomas, 2001. "A New Spin on the Jumbo/Conforming Loan Rate Differential," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 309-335, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gregg Fisher & Eva Steiner & Sheridan Titman & Ashvin Viswanathan, 2022. "Location density, systematic risk, and cap rates: Evidence from REITs," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(2), pages 366-400, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liang Peng & Lei Zhang, 2021. "House Prices and Systematic Risk: Evidence from Microdata," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1069-1092, December.
    2. Raj Chetty & László Sándor & Adam Szeidl, 2017. "The Effect of Housing on Portfolio Choice," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(3), pages 1171-1212, June.
    3. Tokuo Iwaisako & Arito Ono & Amane Saito & Hidenobu Tokuda, 2022. "Disentangling the effect of home ownership on household stockholdings: Evidence from Japanese micro data," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(1), pages 268-295, March.
    4. Zou, Jing & Deng, Xiaojun, 2019. "Financial literacy, housing value and household financial market participation: Evidence from urban China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 52-66.
    5. Ran Sun Lyng & Jie Zhou, 2023. "Household portfolio choice before and after a house purchase," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(6), pages 1376-1398, November.
    6. Marekwica, Marcel & Schaefer, Alexander & Sebastian, Steffen, 2013. "Life cycle asset allocation in the presence of housing and tax-deferred investing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 1110-1125.
    7. Ran Sun Lyng & Jie Zhou, 2019. "Household Portfolio Choice Before and After a House Purchase," Economics Working Papers 2019-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    8. Thomas Michielsen & Remco Mocking & Sander van Veldhuizen, 2015. "Home Ownership and Household Portfolio Choice," CPB Discussion Paper 318.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    9. Thomas Michielsen & Remco Mocking & Sander van Veldhuizen, 2015. "Home Ownership and Household Portfolio Choice," CPB Discussion Paper 318, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    10. Qize Li & Dirk Brounen & Jianjun Li & Xu Wei, 2022. "The Effect of Housing Wealth on Household Portfolio Choice," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 23(2), pages 253-277, November.
    11. Felici, Marco & Fuerst, Franz, 2023. "The heterogeneous relationship of owner-occupied and investment property with household portfolio choice," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    12. He, Zekai & Shi, Xiuzhen & Lu, Xiaomeng & Li, Feng, 2019. "Home equity and household portfolio choice: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 149-164.
    13. Francisco Gomes & Michael Haliassos & Tarun Ramadorai, 2021. "Household Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(3), pages 919-1000, September.
    14. Marekwica, Marcel & Stamos, Michael Z., 2010. "Optimal life cycle portfolio choice with housing market cycles," CFS Working Paper Series 2010/21, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    15. Holger Kraft & Claus Munk & Sebastian Wagner, 2018. "Housing Habits and Their Implications for Life-Cycle Consumption and Investment [The evolution of homeownership rates in selected OECD countries: demographic and public policy influences]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 22(5), pages 1737-1762.
    16. Bracke, Philippe & Hilber, Christian A.L. & Silva, Olmo, 2018. "Mortgage debt and entrepreneurship," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 52-66.
    17. Leo Kaas & Georgi Kocharkov & Edgar Preugschat, 2019. "Does homeownership promote wealth accumulation?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(14), pages 1186-1191, August.
    18. Roine Vestman, 2019. "Limited Stock Market Participation Among Renters and Homeowners," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(4), pages 1494-1535.
    19. Otto Van Hemert, 2010. "Household Interest Rate Risk Management," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 38(3), pages 467-505, September.
    20. Huirong Liu, 2020. "Housing Investment, Stock Market Participation and Household Portfolio choice: Evidence from China's Urban Areas," Papers 2001.01641, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing; Risk segmentation;

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • R33 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:63:y:2021:i:4:d:10.1007_s11146-020-09792-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.