IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/jrefec/v63y2021i1d10.1007_s11146-020-09744-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

On the Consequences of the Discontinuation of the Eleventh District Cost of Funds Index

Author

Listed:
  • Jerry Nickelsburg

    (Anderson School of Management, UCLA)

  • William Yu

    (UCLA Anderson Forecast)

Abstract

The Federal Home Loan Bank of San Francisco announced its intention to discontinue the three Eleventh District Weighted Average Cost of Funds Indexes (COFI). As these indexes are used to benchmark many ARM mortgages, their discontinuation raises two important issues. First, are mortgage markets losing significant information and efficiency in their absence, and second, does this action result in significant consumer and financial institution costs? Though COFI was somewhat unique when first constructed in 1981, we find that there are now good close substitutes available. In addition, a time series analysis of COFI demonstrates that its quality and time consistency has deteriorated since its inception making it a less useful, and perhaps misleading measure of savings institutions’ cost of funds. The analysis also suggests research into the fidelity of other long lived and oft-used indexes is likely warranted.

Suggested Citation

  • Jerry Nickelsburg & William Yu, 2021. "On the Consequences of the Discontinuation of the Eleventh District Cost of Funds Index," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 143-160, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:63:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s11146-020-09744-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-020-09744-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11146-020-09744-x
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11146-020-09744-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
    2. Andrews, Donald W K, 1993. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 821-856, July.
    3. Richard Stanton & Nancy Wallace, 1995. "ARM Wrestling: Valuing Adjustable Rate Mortgages Indexed to the Eleventh District Cost of Funds," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 23(3), pages 311-345, September.
    4. Frank E. Nothaft & George H. K. Wang, 1992. "Seasonal Variation in Cost‐of‐Funds at Thrift Institutions," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 20(4), pages 573-582, December.
    5. Passmore, Stuart Wayne, 1993. "Econometric Models of the Eleventh District Cost of Funds Index," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 6(2), pages 175-188, March.
    6. Crockett, John H & Nothaft, Frank E & Wang, George H K, 1991. "Temporal Relationships among Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Indexes," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 409-419, December.
    7. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 2003. "Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(1), pages 1-22.
    8. Hancock, Diana & Passmore, Wayne, 2016. "Cost of funds indexed mortgage contracts with government-backed catastrophic insurance (COFI-Cats): A realistic alternative to the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 109-130.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bernard, Jean-Thomas & Idoudi, Nadhem & Khalaf, Lynda & Yelou, Clement, 2007. "Finite sample multivariate structural change tests with application to energy demand models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1219-1244, December.
    2. Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto, 2022. "Structural change tests under heteroskedasticity: Joint estimation versus two‐steps methods," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 389-411, May.
    3. Bertrand Groslambert & Raphaël Chiappini & Olivier Bruno, 2015. "Bank Output Calculation in the Case of France: What Do New Methods Tell About the Financial Intermediation Services in the Aftermath of the Crisis?," GREDEG Working Papers 2015-32, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    4. Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen & Thomas C. Chiang, 2017. "Surprises, sentiments, and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 1-28, July.
    5. Devi, P. Indira & Shanmugam, K.R. & Jayasree, M.G., 2012. "Compensating Wages for Occupational Risks of Farm Workers in India," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 67(2), pages 1-12.
    6. Miguel Gómez-Antonio & Ana Angulo Garijo, 2012. "Evaluating the Effect of Public investment on Productivity Growth Using an Urban Economics Approach for the Spanish Provinces," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 35(4), pages 389-423, October.
    7. Fatum, Rasmus & Yamamoto, Yohei & Zhu, Guozhong, 2017. "Is the Renminbi a safe haven?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 189-202.
    8. Esteve Vicente & Prats Maria A., 2021. "Structural Breaks and Explosive Behavior in the Long-Run: The Case of Australian Real House Prices, 1870–2020," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 72-84, January.
    9. Hännikäinen Jari, 2017. "Selection of an Estimation Window in the Presence of Data Revisions and Recent Structural Breaks," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-22, January.
    10. Mohitosh Kejriwal, 2020. "A Robust Sequential Procedure for Estimating the Number of Structural Changes in Persistence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(3), pages 669-685, June.
    11. Maria Siranova & Menbere Workie Tiruneh, 2016. "The determinants of errors and omissions in a small and open economy: The case of Slovakia," Working Papers wp73, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, revised 08 Apr 2016.
    12. Choi, Kyongwook & Yu, Wei-Choun & Zivot, Eric, 2010. "Long memory versus structural breaks in modeling and forecasting realized volatility," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 857-875, September.
    13. Agata Lozinskaia & Anastasiia Saltykova, 2019. "Fundamental Factors Affecting The Moex Russia Index: Structural Break Detection In A Long-Term Time Series," HSE Working papers WP BRP 77/FE/2019, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    14. Ngai Hang Chan & Chun Yip Yau & Rong-Mao Zhang, 2014. "Group LASSO for Structural Break Time Series," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 109(506), pages 590-599, June.
    15. Atanu Ghoshray & Issam Malki & Javier Ordóñez, 2022. "On the long-run dynamics of income and wealth inequality," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(2), pages 375-408, February.
    16. Perron, Pierre, 2020. "L'estimation de modèles avec changements structurels multiples," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 96(4), pages 789-837, Décembre.
    17. Pierre Perron & Yohei Yamamoto, 2022. "The great moderation: updated evidence with joint tests for multiple structural changes in variance and persistence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1193-1218, March.
    18. Wang‐Sheng Lee & Sandy Suardi, 2010. "The Australian Firearms Buyback And Its Effect On Gun Deaths," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 28(1), pages 65-79, January.
    19. Hui Hong & Zhicun Bian & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2021. "COVID-19 and instability of stock market performance: evidence from the U.S," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.
    20. Alessandro Casini & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Structural Breaks in Time Series," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2019-02, Boston University - Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs); Cost of fund index (COFI); Mortgages; Interest rates; Structural break test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:63:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s11146-020-09744-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.