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Transaction Volume and Price Dispersion in the Presale and Spot Real Estate Markets

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  • C. Yiu
  • S. Wong
  • K. Chau

Abstract

Noise trading has been intensively studied in finance, but rarely in real estate. Theories of price dispersion have also been well established in retailing research, but less so in real estate. This paper is the first attempt to study the effect of noise trading on price dispersion in the real estate spot and presale (forward) markets. Quality-controlled price dispersion data series are estimated using a sample of transaction data in the housing presale and spot markets in Hong Kong. Our results show that transaction volume has a negative and significant effect on price dispersion in the spot market, but a positive and significant effect in the presale market. These support our conjecture that there are more noise traders in the presale market due to lower transaction costs. The volume effects also provide support for the use of a volume weighted least squares model when constructing a repeat sales index. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2009

Suggested Citation

  • C. Yiu & S. Wong & K. Chau, 2009. "Transaction Volume and Price Dispersion in the Presale and Spot Real Estate Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 241-253, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:38:y:2009:i:3:p:241-253
    DOI: 10.1007/s11146-008-9161-z
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    1. Jin Choi & Henning Rasmussen & Matt Davison, 2012. "Fair Value and Risk Profile for Presale Contracts of Condominiums," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 472-504, May.
    2. Sumit Agarwal & Ying Fan & Daniel P. McMillen & Tien Foo Sing, 2021. "Tracking the pulse of a city—3D real estate price heat maps," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(3), pages 543-569, June.
    3. Wang, Wen-Kai & Lin, Che-Chun & Tsai, I-Chun, 2022. "Long- and short-term price behaviors in presale housing markets in Taiwan," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 350-364.
    4. Quan Gan & Maggie Rong Hu & Wayne Xinwei Wan, 2022. "Contract rescission in the real estate presale market," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1054-1106, December.
    5. Ying-Hui Chiang & Yuan Ku & Feng Liu & Chin-Oh Chang, 2019. "House Price Dispersion in Taipei Residential Communities," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(1), pages 109-129.

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