IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/jrefec/v20y2000i2p225-44.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymmetric Information and the Predictability of Real Estate Returns

Author

Listed:
  • Cooper, Michael
  • Downs, David H
  • Patterson, Gary A

Abstract

This article examines the relation between systematic price changes and the heterogeneity of investors' information sets in real estate asset markets. The empirical implications rely on a theoretical economy in which information asymmetry alters the dynamic relation between returns and trading volume. We employ a filter-rule methodology to determine predictability in returns and augment the return-based conditioning set with trading volume. The additional conditioning information is necessary since the model is underspecified when predictability is based on returns alone. Our results provide new insight into the coexistence of informational and noninformational exchange in the speculative markets for real estate assets. Specifically, we find that the predictability of real estate returns is generally more indicative of portfolio rebalancing effects than an adverse-selection problem. These results are unique in addressing the time-variation in information asymmetry. Copyright 2000 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Suggested Citation

  • Cooper, Michael & Downs, David H & Patterson, Gary A, 2000. "Asymmetric Information and the Predictability of Real Estate Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 225-244, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:20:y:2000:i:2:p:225-44
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://journals.kluweronline.com/issn/0895-5638/contents
    File Function: link to full text
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Michael Cooper & David H. Downs, 1999. "Real Estate Securities and a Filter-based, Short-term Trading Strategy," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 18(2), pages 313-334.
    2. repec:ire:issued:v:22:n:01:2019:p:85-110 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Jieting Chen & Yuichiro Kawaguchi, 2018. "A Revisit of the Cross-Section of Overnight and Intraday Abnormal Returns: Evidence from the Japanese REIT Market," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(1), pages 46-63, January.
    4. Hao Fang & Yen-Hsien Lee, 2013. "Are the Global REIT Markets Efficient by a New Approach?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 60(6), pages 743-757, December.
    5. Sulaiman T. Al-Abduljader, 2019. "Interdependence of Securitized Real Estate in Frontier Markets," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(1), pages 83-108.
    6. Benjamas Jirasakuldech & Robert Campbell & John Knight, 2006. "Are There Rational Speculative Bubbles in REITs?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 32(2), pages 105-127, March.
    7. Martin Hoesli & Stanimira Milcheva & Alex Moss, 2020. "Is Financial Regulation Good or Bad for Real Estate Companies? – An Event Study," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 369-407, October.
    8. Beata Szetela & Grzegorz Mentel & Yuriy Bilan & Urszula Mentel, 2021. "The relationship between trend and volume on the bitcoin market," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(1), pages 25-42, March.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:20:y:2000:i:2:p:225-44. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.