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Investment in Paintings: A Short-Run Price Index

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  • Marilena Locatelli Biey
  • Roberto Zanola

Abstract

This paper analyses the performance of a speculative investment in paintings during the period 1987–1995 by applying a modified repeat sales technique to a sample of 1446 repeat sales. Since this period is characterised by a boom and a non-boom sub-period, a price risk term is introduced to estimate influences that only affect a painting's value upon its sale, by isolating shocks that can cause realised returns to stray from expectations. The main finding is that from 1987 to 1991 an investment in paintigs performs well if compared with alternative forms of investment, such as U.S. stocks, U.S. 30 year government bonds and gold; by contrast, from 1992 to 1995 returns are lower, with the exception of 1993. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1999

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  • Marilena Locatelli Biey & Roberto Zanola, 1999. "Investment in Paintings: A Short-Run Price Index," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 23(3), pages 209-219, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jculte:v:23:y:1999:i:3:p:209-219
    DOI: 10.1023/A:1007551907213
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Worthington & Helen Higgs, 2006. "A Note on Financial Risk, Return and Asset Pricing in Australian Modern and Contemporary Art," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 30(1), pages 73-84, March.
    2. Laura Onofri, 2009. "Old master paintings, export veto and price formation: an empirical study," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 149-161, October.
    3. Luis Antonio Palma M. & Luis Fernando Aguado Q., 2010. "Economía de la cultura. Una nueva área de especialización de la economía," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 12(22), pages 129-165, January-J.
    4. Ünsal Özdilek, 2013. "Visual autocorrelation of prices," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 37(2), pages 203-223, May.
    5. Richard J. Agnello, 2002. "Investment Returns and Risk for Art: Evidence from Auctions of American Paintings," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 28(4), pages 443-463, Fall.
    6. Louis Lévy-Garboua & Claude Montmarquette, 2011. "Demand," Chapters, in: Ruth Towse (ed.), A Handbook of Cultural Economics, Second Edition, chapter 26, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    7. Marinelli, Nicoletta & Palomba, Giulio, 2011. "A model for pricing Italian Contemporary Art paintings at auction," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 212-224, May.
    8. Váradi, Kata & Teszárik, Eszter, 2020. "A magyar festménypiac pénzügyi szemmel [The Hungarian market for paintings, from a financial point of view]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1271-1298.
    9. Carmelo Giaccotto & Joseph Golec & Bryan P. Schmutz, 2017. "Measuring the Performance of the Secondary Market for Life Insurance Policies," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 84(1), pages 127-151, March.
    10. Victor Ginsburgh & Jianping Mei & Michael Moses, 2006. "On the computation of art indices in art," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/7290, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    11. Helen Higgs, 2010. "Australian Art Market Prices during the Global Financial Crisis and two earlier decades," Discussion Papers in Economics economics:201003, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
    12. Helen Higgs & John Forster, 2014. "The auction market for artworks and their physical dimensions: Australia—1986 to 2009," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 38(1), pages 85-104, February.
    13. Federico Etro & Laura Pagani, 2013. "The market for paintings in the Venetian Republic from Renaissance to Rococò," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 37(4), pages 391-415, November.
    14. Helen Higgs & Andrew Worthington, 2005. "Financial Returns and Price Determinants in the Australian Art Market, 1973-2003," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 81(253), pages 113-123, June.
    15. Fedderke, Johannes W. & Li, Kaini, 2020. "Art in Africa: Hedonic price analysis of the South African fine art auction market, 2009–2014," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 88-101.
    16. Park, Heungju & Ju, Lan & Liang, Tianyu & Tu, Zhiyong, 2017. "Horizon analysis of art investments: Evidence from the Chinese market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 17-25.

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