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An application of the Black–Litterman model with EGARCH-M-derived views for international portfolio management

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  • Steven Beach
  • Alexei Orlov

Abstract

This paper provides an application of the Black–Litterman methodology to portfolio management in a global setting. The novel feature of this paper relative to the extant literature on Black–Litterman methodology is that we use GARCH-derived views as an input into the Black–Litterman model. The returns on our portfolio surpass those of portfolios that rely on market equilibrium weights or Markowitz-optimal allocations. We thereby illustrate how the Black–Litterman model can be put to work in designing global investment strategies. Copyright Swiss Society for Financial Market Research 2007

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  • Steven Beach & Alexei Orlov, 2007. "An application of the Black–Litterman model with EGARCH-M-derived views for international portfolio management," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 21(2), pages 147-166, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:fmktpm:v:21:y:2007:i:2:p:147-166
    DOI: 10.1007/s11408-007-0046-6
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    Cited by:

    1. Erindi Allaj, 2020. "The Black–Litterman model and views from a reverse optimization procedure: an out-of-sample performance evaluation," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 465-492, October.
    2. Erindi Allaj, 2013. "The Black–Litterman model: a consistent estimation of the parameter tau," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 27(2), pages 217-251, June.
    3. Han, Yingwei & Li, Jie, 2023. "The impact of global economic policy uncertainty on portfolio optimization: A Black–Litterman approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    4. Shea D. Chen & Andrew E. B. Lim, 2020. "A Generalized Black–Litterman Model," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 68(2), pages 381-410, March.
    5. Becker, Franziska & Gürtler, Marc, 2008. "Quantitative forecast model for the application of the Black-Litterman approach," Working Papers IF27V2, Technische Universität Braunschweig, Institute of Finance.
    6. Harris, Richard D.F. & Stoja, Evarist & Tan, Linzhi, 2017. "The dynamic Black–Litterman approach to asset allocation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 259(3), pages 1085-1096.
    7. Barua, Ronil & Sharma, Anil K., 2023. "Using fear, greed and machine learning for optimizing global portfolios: A Black-Litterman approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
    8. Patrick Bielstein, 2018. "International asset allocation using the market implied cost of capital," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 32(1), pages 17-51, February.
    9. François Ogliaro & Robert K Rice & Stewart Becker & Raul Leote de Carvalho, 2012. "Explicit coupling of informative prior and likelihood functions in a Bayesian multivariate framework and application to a new non-orthogonal formulation of the Black–Litterman model," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 13(2), pages 128-140, April.
    10. Zhao, Daping & Bai, Lin & Fang, Yong & Wang, Shouyang, 2022. "Multi‐period portfolio selection with investor views based on scenario tree," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 418(C).
    11. Danish A. Alvi, 2018. "Application of Probabilistic Graphical Models in Forecasting Crude Oil Price," Papers 1804.10869, arXiv.org.
    12. Lawrenz, Jochen & Zorn, Josef, 2017. "Predicting international stock returns with conditional price-to-fundamental ratios," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 159-184.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Black–Litterman; GARCH; Global portfolio management; G11; G15;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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