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Impact of exchange-rate variability on commodity trade between U.S. and Germany

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  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee
  • Masoomeh Hajilee

Abstract

Previous studies that looked at the impact of exchange rate volatility on trade flows used aggregate trade data between one country and rest of the world or between two countries. More recent studies, however, have expanded the literature by using a highly disaggregated commodity level data between two countries. In this paper we consider the sensitivity of 131 industries that trade between U.S. and Germany. We find that exports and imports of a majority of the industries react to the real dollar–euro volatility in the short run. The short-run effects, however, last into the long run only in almost 50 % of the industries. Among these industries, while almost all U.S. exporting industries are affected favorably by exchange rate volatility, a majority of the U.S. importing industries are affected adversely. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Masoomeh Hajilee, 2013. "Impact of exchange-rate variability on commodity trade between U.S. and Germany," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 40(2), pages 287-324, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:empiri:v:40:y:2013:i:2:p:287-324
    DOI: 10.1007/s10663-012-9193-8
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    Cited by:

    1. Jana Šimáková & Daniel Stavárek, 2015. "An Empirical Sector-Specific Gravity Model for Hungarian International Trade," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 63(6), pages 2145-2150.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Ridha Nouira & Sami Saafi, 2020. "Exchange-rate volatility and commodity trade between the U.S. and Germany: asymmetry analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 67-124, February.
    3. Sharma, Chandan & Pal, Debdatta, 2018. "Exchange rate volatility and India's cross-border trade: A pooled mean group and nonlinear cointegration approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 230-246.
    4. Javed Iqbal & Misbah Nosheen & Mark Wohar, 2023. "Exchange rate volatility and India–US commodity trade: evidence of the third country effect," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 359-398, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate volatility; Industry data; Germany; United states; Bounds testing; F31;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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