IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/compec/v62y2023i4d10.1007_s10614-022-10309-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Identifying Systemically Important Banks Based on an Improved DebtRank Model

Author

Listed:
  • Hu Wang

    (Yangzhou University)

  • Shouwei Li

    (Southeast University)

Abstract

Considering two risk contagion channels, namely interbank lending and common asset holdings, we introduce the bank's default probability into the DebtRank model to construct an improved one and measured the bank’s systemic risk using the data of China's banking industry from 2016 to 2018. The research results indicate that the bank’s systemic risk from two risk contagion channels is significantly greater than the sum of risks from every single channel. The original DebtRank that takes only a single risk contagion channel into account will underestimate the bank’s systemic risk. In addition, state-owned commercial banks and joint-stock commercial banks are the risk centers of China's banking system, whose systemic importance changes dynamically. Furthermore, the ranking of the TLAC gaps show correlation with the ranking of the DebtRanks of Chinese G-SIBs. The results of this paper will provide a new way and a theoretical basis for identifying systemically important banks and strengthening the supervision of the banking system.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu Wang & Shouwei Li, 2023. "Identifying Systemically Important Banks Based on an Improved DebtRank Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(4), pages 1505-1523, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:62:y:2023:i:4:d:10.1007_s10614-022-10309-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10614-022-10309-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10614-022-10309-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10614-022-10309-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Poledna, Sebastian & Molina-Borboa, José Luis & Martínez-Jaramillo, Serafín & van der Leij, Marco & Thurner, Stefan, 2015. "The multi-layer network nature of systemic risk and its implications for the costs of financial crises," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 70-81.
    2. Aldasoro, Iñaki & Alves, Iván, 2018. "Multiplex interbank networks and systemic importance: An application to European data," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 17-37.
    3. Battiston, Stefano & Delli Gatti, Domenico & Gallegati, Mauro & Greenwald, Bruce & Stiglitz, Joseph E., 2012. "Liaisons dangereuses: Increasing connectivity, risk sharing, and systemic risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1121-1141.
    4. Coval, Joshua & Stafford, Erik, 2007. "Asset fire sales (and purchases) in equity markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(2), pages 479-512, November.
    5. Giulio Cimini & Tiziano Squartini & Diego Garlaschelli & Andrea Gabrielli, 2014. "Systemic risk analysis in reconstructed economic and financial networks," Papers 1411.7613, arXiv.org, revised May 2015.
    6. Craig, Ben & von Peter, Goetz, 2014. "Interbank tiering and money center banks," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 322-347.
    7. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-470, May.
    8. Daron Acemoglu & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2015. "Systemic Risk and Stability in Financial Networks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(2), pages 564-608, February.
    9. Caccioli, Fabio & Shrestha, Munik & Moore, Cristopher & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2014. "Stability analysis of financial contagion due to overlapping portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 233-245.
    10. Giulio Cimini & Matteo Serri, 2016. "Entangling Credit and Funding Shocks in Interbank Markets," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(8), pages 1-15, August.
    11. in ’t Veld, Daan & van Lelyveld, Iman, 2014. "Finding the core: Network structure in interbank markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 27-40.
    12. Silva, Thiago Christiano & de Souza, Sergio Rubens Stancato & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2016. "Network structure analysis of the Brazilian interbank market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 130-152.
    13. Caccioli, Fabio & Farmer, J. Doyne & Foti, Nick & Rockmore, Daniel, 2015. "Overlapping portfolios, contagion, and financial stability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 50-63.
    14. Montagna, Mattia & Kok, Christoffer, 2013. "Multi-layered interbank model for assessing systemic risk," Kiel Working Papers 1873, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    15. Marco Bardoscia & Stefano Battiston & Fabio Caccioli & Guido Caldarelli, 2015. "DebtRank: A Microscopic Foundation for Shock Propagation," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(6), pages 1-13, June.
    16. Giulio Cimini & Matteo Serri, 2016. "Entangling credit and funding shocks in interbank markets," Papers 1604.06629, arXiv.org.
    17. Ohsung Kwon & Sung-guan Yun & Seung Hun Han & Yang Hon Chung & Duk Hee Lee, 2018. "Network Topology and Systemically Important Firms in the Interfirm Credit Network," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 847-864, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marco Bardoscia & Paolo Barucca & Stefano Battiston & Fabio Caccioli & Giulio Cimini & Diego Garlaschelli & Fabio Saracco & Tiziano Squartini & Guido Caldarelli, 2021. "The Physics of Financial Networks," Papers 2103.05623, arXiv.org.
    2. Morteza Alaeddini & Philippe Madiès & Paul J. Reaidy & Julie Dugdale, 2023. "Interbank money market concerns and actors’ strategies—A systematic review of 21st century literature," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 573-654, April.
    3. Sadamori Kojaku & Giulio Cimini & Guido Caldarelli & Naoki Masuda, 2018. "Structural changes in the interbank market across the financial crisis from multiple core-periphery analysis," Papers 1802.05139, arXiv.org.
    4. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Guerra, Solange Maria & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2020. "Fiscal risk and financial fragility," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    5. X. Zhang & L. D. Valdez & H. E. Stanley & L. A. Braunstein, 2019. "Modeling Risk Contagion in the Venture Capital Market: A Multilayer Network Approach," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-11, December.
    6. Wiersema, Garbrand & Kleinnijenhuis, Alissa M. & Wetzer, Thom & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2023. "Scenario-free analysis of financial stability with interacting contagion channels," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    7. Brandi, Giuseppe & Di Clemente, Riccardo & Cimini, Giulio, 2018. "Epidemics of liquidity shortages in interbank markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 507(C), pages 255-267.
    8. Tiziano Squartini & Guido Caldarelli & Giulio Cimini & Andrea Gabrielli & Diego Garlaschelli, 2018. "Reconstruction methods for networks: the case of economic and financial systems," Papers 1806.06941, arXiv.org.
    9. Giulia Poce & Giulio Cimini & Andrea Gabrielli & Andrea Zaccaria & Giuditta Baldacci & Marco Polito & Mariangela Rizzo & Silvia Sabatini, 2016. "What do central counterparties default funds really cover? A network-based stress test answer," Papers 1611.03782, arXiv.org.
    10. Cuba, Walter & Rodriguez-Martinez, Anahi & Chavez, Diego A. & Caccioli, Fabio & Martinez-Jaramillo, Serafin, 2021. "A network characterization of the interbank exposures in Peru," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(3).
    11. Tabak, Benjamin Miranda & Silva, Thiago Christiano & Fiche, Marcelo Estrela & Braz, Tércio, 2021. "Citation likelihood analysis of the interbank financial networks literature: A machine learning and bibliometric approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 562(C).
    12. Hüser, Anne-Caroline, 2016. "Too interconnected to fail: A survey of the Interbank Networks literature," SAFE Working Paper Series 91, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2016.
    13. Elosegui, Pedro & Forte, Federico D. & Montes-Rojas, Gabriel, 2022. "Network structure and fragmentation of the Argentinean interbank markets," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(3).
    14. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda & Guerra, Solange Maria, 2017. "Why do vulnerability cycles matter in financial networks?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 592-606.
    15. Fabio Caccioli & Paolo Barucca & Teruyoshi Kobayashi, 2018. "Network models of financial systemic risk: a review," Journal of Computational Social Science, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 81-114, January.
    16. Farmer, J. Doyne & Kleinnijenhuis, Alissa & Nahai-Williamson, Paul & Wetzer, Thom, 2020. "Foundations of system-wide financial stress testing with heterogeneous institutions," INET Oxford Working Papers 2020-14, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
    17. Ellis, Scott & Sharma, Satish & Brzeszczyński, Janusz, 2022. "Systemic risk measures and regulatory challenges," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    18. Yan, Chun & Ding, Yi & Liu, Wei & Liu, Xinhong & Liu, Jiahui, 2023. "Multilayer interbank networks and systemic risk propagation: Evidence from China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 628(C).
    19. Sümer, Tuba Pelin & Özyıldırım, Süheyla, 2019. "Do banking groups shape the network structure? Evidence from Turkish interbank market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    20. Adão, Luiz F.S. & Silveira, Douglas & Ely, Regis A. & Cajueiro, Daniel O., 2022. "The impacts of interest rates on banks’ loan portfolio risk-taking," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:62:y:2023:i:4:d:10.1007_s10614-022-10309-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.