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Comparison of MCMC Methods for Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models

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  • Manabu Asai

Abstract

This article investigates performances of MCMC methods to estimate stochastic volatility models on simulated and real data. There are two efficient MCMC methods to generate latent volatilities from their full conditional distribution. One is the mixture sampler and the other is the multi-move sampler. There is another efficient method for latent volatilities and all parameters called the integration sampler, which is based on the mixture sampler. This article proposes an alternative method based on the multi-move sampler and finds evidence that it is the best method among them. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, Inc. 2005

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  • Manabu Asai, 2005. "Comparison of MCMC Methods for Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 25(3), pages 281-301, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:25:y:2005:i:3:p:281-301
    DOI: 10.1007/s10614-005-2974-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sangjoon Kim & Neil Shephard & Siddhartha Chib, 1998. "Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 65(3), pages 361-393.
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    3. Chib, Siddhartha & Nardari, Federico & Shephard, Neil, 2002. "Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 281-316, June.
    4. Sandmann, Gleb & Koopman, Siem Jan, 1998. "Estimation of stochastic volatility models via Monte Carlo maximum likelihood," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 271-301, September.
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    6. Watanabe, Toshiaki, 1999. "A Non-linear Filtering Approach to Stochastic Volatility Models with an Application to Daily Stock Returns," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 101-121, March-Apr.
    7. W. R. Gilks & N. G. Best & K. K. C. Tan, 1995. "Adaptive Rejection Metropolis Sampling Within Gibbs Sampling," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 44(4), pages 455-472, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Alternative Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 548-564, October.
    2. Roberto León-González, 2019. "Efficient Bayesian inference in generalized inverse gamma processes for stochastic volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(8), pages 899-920, September.
    3. Asai, Manabu, 2009. "Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility models with mixture-of-normal distributions," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2579-2596.
    4. Didit Nugroho & Takayuki Morimoto, 2015. "Estimation of realized stochastic volatility models using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo-Based methods," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 491-516, June.
    5. Asai, Manabu & McAleer, Michael, 2009. "The structure of dynamic correlations in multivariate stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 182-192, June.

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