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Monetary policy in the euro area: Was it too tight in the 1990s?

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  • Willi Semmler
  • Alfred Greiner
  • Wenlang Zhang

Abstract

This paper studies the monetary policy in the euro area. An important question concerning the euro area is whether the monetary policy has been too tight in the 1990s and in turn, caused the high unemployment rates, in contrast to the economic prosperity and low unemployment rate of the U.S. Therefore, the authors explore what would have happened to the euro economy if the Central Banks had followed either the fixed or time-varying monetary policy rule of the U.S. The paper does find that the European central banks and then later the ECB overreacted to past inflation pressures. Copyright International Atlantic Economic Society 2002

Suggested Citation

  • Willi Semmler & Alfred Greiner & Wenlang Zhang, 2002. "Monetary policy in the euro area: Was it too tight in the 1990s?," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 30(3), pages 283-297, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:atlecj:v:30:y:2002:i:3:p:283-297
    DOI: 10.1007/BF02298426
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Svensson, Lars E. O., 1997. "Inflation forecast targeting: Implementing and monitoring inflation targets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1111-1146, June.
    2. Glenn Rudebusch & Lars E.O. Svensson, 1999. "Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting," NBER Chapters, in: Monetary Policy Rules, pages 203-262, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Clarida, Richard & Gali, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1998. "Monetary policy rules in practice Some international evidence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 1033-1067, June.
    4. John B. Taylor, 1999. "Monetary Policy Rules," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number tayl99-1.
    5. Gert Peersman & Frank Smets, 1999. "Uncertainty and the Taylor rule in a simple model of the Euro-area economy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    6. Beck, Gunter W. & Wieland, Volker, 2002. "Learning and control in a changing economic environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(9-10), pages 1359-1377, August.
    7. Taylor, John B., 1993. "Discretion versus policy rules in practice," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 195-214, December.
    8. Semmler, Willi & Wohrmann, Peter, 2004. "Credit risk and sustainable debt: a model and estimations of why the Euro is stable in the long-run," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(6), pages 1145-1160, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Orlando Gomes & Diana A. Mendes & Vivaldo M. Mendes & José Sousa Ramos, 2006. "Endogenous Cycles in Optimal Monetary Policywith a Nonlinear Phillips Curve," Working Papers Series 1 ercwp1508, ISCTE-IUL, Business Research Unit (BRU-IUL).

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