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A Note on Credit Risk of Vertical Keiretsu Firms: Preliminary Evidence from the Japanese Automobile Industry

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  • Naoya Takezawa
  • Nobuya Takezawa

Abstract

This paper empirically examines the relationship between the credit risk of Toyota, Nissan and Honda keiretsu-affiliated firms and the credit risk of the respective parent company. As credit spread data for keiretsu-affiliated firms were not available we create a keiretsu default index, as a proxy, using expected default probabilities obtained from the KMV and Leland and Toft (J. Finance 51, 987–1019, 1996) option pricing models. We find parent credit spreads do not Granger cause our keiretsu default index and vice versa in a bivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) framework. Copyright Springer Science + Business Media, Inc. 2003

Suggested Citation

  • Naoya Takezawa & Nobuya Takezawa, 2003. "A Note on Credit Risk of Vertical Keiretsu Firms: Preliminary Evidence from the Japanese Automobile Industry," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 10(4), pages 377-398, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:apfinm:v:10:y:2003:i:4:p:377-398
    DOI: 10.1007/s10690-005-4248-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Leland, Hayne E & Toft, Klaus Bjerre, 1996. "Optimal Capital Structure, Endogenous Bankruptcy, and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(3), pages 987-1019, July.
    4. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy: A Discriminant Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(1), pages 193-194, March.
    5. Takeo Hoshi & Anil Kashyap, 2004. "Corporate Financing and Governance in Japan: The Road to the Future," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262582481, December.
    6. Ronn, Ehud I & Verma, Avinash K, 1986. "Pricing Risk-Adjusted Deposit Insurance: An Option-Based Model," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(4), pages 871-895, September.
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