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An evolutionary CAPM under heterogeneous beliefs

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  • Carl Chiarella
  • Roberto Dieci
  • Xue-Zhong He
  • Kai Li

Abstract

Heterogeneity and evolutionary behaviour of investors are two of the most important characteristics of financial markets. This paper incorporates the adaptive behaviour of agents with heterogeneous beliefs and establishes an evolutionary capital asset pricing model (ECAPM) within the mean-variance framework. We show that the rational behaviour of agents switching to better-performing trading strategies can cause large deviations of the market price from the fundamental value of one asset to spill over to other assets. Also, this spill-over effect is associated with high trading volumes and persistent volatility characterized by significantly decaying autocorrelations of, and positive correlation between, price volatility and trading volume. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Carl Chiarella & Roberto Dieci & Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li, 2013. "An evolutionary CAPM under heterogeneous beliefs," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 185-215, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:annfin:v:9:y:2013:i:2:p:185-215
    DOI: 10.1007/s10436-012-0215-0
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Evolutionary CAPM; Heterogeneous beliefs; Market stability; Spill-over effects; Volatility; Trading volume; D84; G12;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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