IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/annfin/v1y2005i2p179-192.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Parallel cartoons of fractal models of finance

Author

Listed:
  • Benoit B. Mandelbrot

Abstract

Having been crafted to welcome a new scientific journal, this paper looks forward but requires no special prerequisite. The argument builds on a technical wrinkle (used earlier but explained here fully for the first time), namely, the author’s grid-bound variant of Brownian motion B(t). While B(t) itself is additive, this variant is a multiplicative recursive process the author calls a ‘‘cartoon.’’ Reliance on this and related cartoons allows a new perspicuous exposition of the various fractal/multifractal models for the variation of financial prices. These illustrations do not claim to represent reality in its full detail, but suffice to imitate and bring out its principal features, namely, long tailedness, long dependence, and clustering. The goal is to convince the reader that the fractals/multifractals are not an exotic technical nightmare that could be avoided. In fact, the author’s models arose successively as proper, ‘‘natural,’’ and even ‘‘unavoidable’’ generalization of the Brownian motion model of price variation. Considered within the context of those generalizations, the original Brownian comes out as very special and narrowly constricted, while the fractal/multifractal models come out as nearly as simple and parsimonious as the Brownian. The cartoons are stylized recursive variants of the author’s fractal/multifractal models, which are even more versatile and realistic. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2005

Suggested Citation

  • Benoit B. Mandelbrot, 2005. "Parallel cartoons of fractal models of finance," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 179-192, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:annfin:v:1:y:2005:i:2:p:179-192
    DOI: 10.1007/s10436-004-0007-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10436-004-0007-2
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10436-004-0007-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Benoit Mandelbrot & Howard M. Taylor, 1967. "On the Distribution of Stock Price Differences," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 15(6), pages 1057-1062, December.
    2. B. B. Mandelbrot, 2001. "Scaling in financial prices: III. Cartoon Brownian motions in multifractal time," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(4), pages 427-440.
    3. B. B. Mandelbrot, 2001. "Stochastic volatility, power laws and long memory," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(6), pages 558-559.
    4. B. B. Mandelbrot, 2001. "Scaling in financial prices: I. Tails and dependence," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 113-123.
    5. Laurent Calvet & Adlai Fisher & Benoit Mandelbrot, 1997. "Large Deviations and the Distribution of Price Changes," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1165, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    6. Clark, Peter K, 1973. "A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(1), pages 135-155, January.
    7. T. Lux, 2001. "Power laws and long memory," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(6), pages 560-562.
    8. Mandelbrot, Benoit B, 1973. "A Subordinated Stochastic Process Model with Finite Variance for Speculative Prices: Comment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(1), pages 157-159, January.
    9. Benoit Mandelbrot & Adlai Fisher & Laurent Calvet, 1997. "A Multifractal Model of Asset Returns," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1164, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    10. Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    11. B. B. Mandelbrot, 2001. "Scaling in financial prices: II. Multifractals and the star equation," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(1), pages 124-130.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Estrada, Fernando, 2011. "Benoit Mandelbrot (1924 - 2011 ) : A Greek among Romans," MPRA Paper 30563, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Yuli Radev, 2015. "New dynamic disequilibrium," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 65-90.
    3. Fernando Estrada, 2011. "Benoit Mandelbrot (1924-2010): a Greek among Romans," History of Economic Ideas, Fabrizio Serra Editore, Pisa - Roma, vol. 19(1), pages 9-16.
    4. Ronny Mazzocchi, 2013. "Scope and Flaws of the New Neoclassical Synthesis," DEM Discussion Papers 2013/13, Department of Economics and Management.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Segnon, Mawuli & Lux, Thomas, 2013. "Multifractal models in finance: Their origin, properties, and applications," Kiel Working Papers 1860, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    2. Eric M. Aldrich & Indra Heckenbach & Gregory Laughlin, 2014. "A Compound Multifractal Model for High-Frequency Asset Returns," BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory Working Paper Series 2014-05, Brigham Young University, Department of Economics, BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory.
    3. Wilhelm Berghorn & Sascha Otto, 2017. "Mandelbrot Market-Model and Momentum," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 8(3), pages 1-26, July.
    4. Aldrich, Eric M. & Heckenbach, Indra & Laughlin, Gregory, 2016. "A compound duration model for high-frequency asset returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PA), pages 105-128.
    5. M. A. H. Dempster, 2011. "Benoit B. Mandelbrot (1924-2010): a father of Quantitative Finance," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 155-156.
    6. Sutthisit Jamdee & Cornelis A. Los, 2005. "Multifractal Modeling of the US Treasury Term Structure and Fed Funds Rate," Finance 0502021, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Hommes, Cars H., 2006. "Heterogeneous Agent Models in Economics and Finance," Handbook of Computational Economics, in: Leigh Tesfatsion & Kenneth L. Judd (ed.), Handbook of Computational Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 23, pages 1109-1186, Elsevier.
    8. Halbleib, Roxana & Dimitriadis, Timo, 2019. "How informative is high-frequency data for tail risk estimation and forecasting? An intrinsic time perspectice," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203669, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    9. Jean de Carufel & Martin Brooks & Michael Stieber & Paul Britton, 2017. "A Topological Approach to Scaling in Financial Data," Papers 1710.08860, arXiv.org.
    10. Arun Kumar & Palaniappan Vellaisamy, 2012. "Fractional Normal Inverse Gaussian Process," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 263-283, June.
    11. Mulligan, Robert F., 2004. "Fractal analysis of highly volatile markets: an application to technology equities," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 155-179, February.
    12. Sandrine Jacob Leal & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Giorgio Fagiolo, 2016. "Rock around the clock: An agent-based model of low- and high-frequency trading," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 49-76, March.
    13. Ghysels, E. & Harvey, A. & Renault, E., 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," Papers 95.400, Toulouse - GREMAQ.
    14. Selçuk, Faruk & Gençay, Ramazan, 2006. "Intraday dynamics of stock market returns and volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 367(C), pages 375-387.
    15. Eric Ghysels & Christian Gouriéroux & Joann Jasiak, 1995. "Market Time and Asset Price Movements Theory and Estimation," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-32, CIRANO.
    16. J. Doyne Farmer & Laszlo Gillemot & Fabrizio Lillo & Szabolcs Mike & Anindya Sen, 2004. "What really causes large price changes?," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 383-397.
    17. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/f6h8764enu2lskk9p4oq9ig8k is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Saswat Patra & Malay Bhattacharyya, 2021. "Does volume really matter? A risk management perspective using cross‐country evidence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 118-135, January.
    19. Laura Eslava & Fernando Baltazar-Larios & Bor Reynoso, 2022. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation for a Markov-Modulated Jump-Diffusion Model," Papers 2211.17220, arXiv.org.
    20. Benoit Mandelbrot & Adlai Fisher & Laurent Calvet, 1997. "A Multifractal Model of Asset Returns," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1164, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    21. Chamil W SENARATHNE & Wei JIANGUO, 2020. "Testing for Heteroskedastic Mixture of Ordinary Least Squares Errors," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 73-91, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fractal; Multifractal; Cartoons; Roughness; Financial prices; G1;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:annfin:v:1:y:2005:i:2:p:179-192. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.