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An Analysis of Financial and Nonfinancial Prepayment of GNMA Securities with a Varying Coefficient Model

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Abstract

This paper develops a model that examines the financial and nonfinancial prepayment of GNMA securities. A varying coefficient model depicts prepayment as a dynamic process, allowing for changes in factors, reflecting differences in time, debt, and borrowers' characteristics. This model provides a means for systematically incorporating hypothesized effects of nonfinancially motivated prepayment while isolating financially induced calls on the debt. Also, the model captures the impact on prepayment of interactions between financial and nonfinancial variables.

Suggested Citation

  • James B. Kau & Thomas M. Springer, 1993. "An Analysis of Financial and Nonfinancial Prepayment of GNMA Securities with a Varying Coefficient Model," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 8(1), pages 69-86.
    • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:8:n:1:1993:p:69-86
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    1. Chester Foster & Robert Van Order, 1985. "FHA Terminations: A Prelude to Rational Mortgage Pricing," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 13(3), pages 273-291, September.
    2. Singh, Balvir, et al, 1976. "On the Estimation of Structural Change: A Generalization of the Random Coefficients Regression Model," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 17(2), pages 340-361, June.
    3. Barr Rosenberg, 1973. "A Survey of Stochastic Parameter Regression," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 2, number 4, pages 381-397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Quigley, John M, 1987. "Interest Rate Variations, Mortgage Prepayments and Household Mobility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 69(4), pages 636-643, November.
    5. repec:bla:jfinan:v:44:y:1989:i:2:p:375-92 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Wallace, T D & Ashar, V G, 1972. "Sequential Methods in Model Construction," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 54(2), pages 172-178, May.
    7. Green, Jerry & Shoven, John B, 1986. "The Effects of Interest Rates on Mortgage Prepayments," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 18(1), pages 41-59, February.
    8. Dunn, Kenneth B & McConnell, John J, 1981. "Valuation of GNMA Mortgage-Backed Securities," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(3), pages 599-616, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stephen F. Thode, 2000. "CMOs, Duration Risk and a New Mortgage," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 19(1), pages 73-103.

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    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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