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Measures Of Core Inflation Used By The National Bank Of Romania

Author

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  • Ionut - Cristian BACIU

    (ctoral School of Economics and Business Administration, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Iasi)

Abstract

The inflationary process has become a phenomenon that has a significant influence on society in general and it is therefore important to be managed in an efficient manner. The objective of this study is to analyze the core inflation measures in Romania, after the adoption of direct inflation targeting regime in August 2005. In order to identify the causal link between the core inflation measures and inflation quantified by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Granger causality test is used. The study results indicate that only on the short-term the CORE 1 inflation (calculated using the Consumer Price Index from which the administered prices are eliminated) has influence on the total inflation, among the other core inflation measures and total inflation rate, the statistical relationships being insignificant.

Suggested Citation

  • Ionut - Cristian BACIU, 2015. "Measures Of Core Inflation Used By The National Bank Of Romania," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 7(1), pages 17-30, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:jes:wpaper:y:2015:v:7:i:1:p:17-30
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    File URL: http://ceswp.uaic.ro/articles/CESWP2015_VII1_BAC.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Theodore M. Crone & N. Neil K. Khettry & Loretta J. Mester & Jason A. Novak, 2013. "Core Measures of Inflation as Predictors of Total Inflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2‐3), pages 505-519, March.
    2. Pelinescu, Elena & Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2008. "Alternative Measures of Core Inflation in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(1), pages 134-148, March.
    3. Charles Steindel, 1997. "Are there good alternatives to the CPI?," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 3(Apr).
    4. Jim Dolmas & Mark A. Wynne, 2008. "Measuring core inflation: notes from a 2007 Dallas Fed conference," Staff Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    core inflation; Consumer Price Index; Granger causality test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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