IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ist/journl/v72y2022i2p787-822.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Tax Wedge: The Case of Selected OECD Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Bulent Diclehan Cadirci

    (Erzincan Binali Yildirim Universitesi, Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Fakultesi, Iktisat Bolumu, Erzincan, Turkiye)

  • Mustafa Tekdere

    (Erzincan Binali Yildirim Universitesi, Iktisadi ve Idari Bilimler Fakultesi, Finans ve Bankacilik Bolumu, Erzincan, Turkiye)

Abstract

Politico-economic uncertainty is able to directly and indirectly affect many macroeconomic variables. In this respect, politico-economic agents are expected to act scientifically and realistically to reduce uncertainty in their statements and decisions. Otherwise, the costs of economic activities will inevitably increase due to the uncertainty phenomenon. This study analyzes the relationship the tax wedge, one of the costs of economic activities, has with politico-economic uncertainty. The study performs the analysis over 18 OECD countries during the 2000-2020 period and examines the long- and short-term relationships using the panel autoregressive distributed lagpooled mean group (ARDL-PMG) model. According to the empirical results, the study obtained homogeneous results for the countries over the long term and concluded economic policy uncertainty to have a positive effect on the tax wedge rate. However, no short-terms relationship was found between the variables. The error correction coefficient was statistically significant (between 0 and -1) in the model, and approximately 11% of the short-term imbalances were concluded to have disappeared by the next period.

Suggested Citation

  • Bulent Diclehan Cadirci & Mustafa Tekdere, 2022. "The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on the Tax Wedge: The Case of Selected OECD Countries," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 72(72-2), pages 787-822, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ist:journl:v:72:y:2022:i:2:p:787-822
    DOI: 10.26650/ISTJECON2021-1125757
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/59D2FF7A9AA3495F8EDD064C69519ADA
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://iupress.istanbul.edu.tr/en/journal/ije/article/ekonomik-belirsizliginin-vergi-takozu-uzerindeki-etkisi-secilmis-oecd-ulkeleri-ornegi
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.26650/ISTJECON2021-1125757?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Claudiu T. Albulescu & Matei Tamasila & Ilie M. Taucean, 2016. "Shadow economy, tax policies, institutional weakness and financial stability in selected OECD countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(3), pages 1868-1875.
    2. Caggiano, Giovanni & Castelnuovo, Efrem & Figueres, Juan Manuel, 2017. "Economic policy uncertainty and unemployment in the United States: A nonlinear approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 31-34.
    3. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Smith, Ron, 1995. "Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 79-113, July.
    4. Francesco Daveri & Guido Tabellini, 2000. "Unemployment, growth and taxation in industrial countries," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 15(30), pages 48-104.
    5. Hausman, Jerry, 2015. "Specification tests in econometrics," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 38(2), pages 112-134.
    6. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2021. "General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 13-50, January.
    7. Hashem Pesaran, M. & Yamagata, Takashi, 2008. "Testing slope homogeneity in large panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 50-93, January.
    8. Ana Gabrilo, 2016. "Tax wedge in Croatia, Belgium, Estonia, Germany and Slovakia," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 40(2), pages 231-264.
    9. Marin Onorato, 2016. "Tax wedge in Croatia, Austria, Hungary, Poland and Greece," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 40(2), pages 265-288.
    10. Bekiros, Stelios & Gupta, Rangan & Majumdar, Anandamayee, 2016. "Incorporating economic policy uncertainty in US equity premium models: A nonlinear predictability analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 291-296.
    11. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Bottero, Margherita, 2020. "Bank lending in uncertain times," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    12. Bernanke, Ben S, 1983. "Nonmonetary Effects of the Financial Crisis in Propagation of the Great Depression," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(3), pages 257-276, June.
    13. Dang, Dandan & Fang, Hongsheng & He, Minyuan, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty, tax quotas and corporate tax burden: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-1.
    14. Primoz Dolenc & Milan Vodopivec, 2005. "The tax wedge in Slovenia: international comparison and policy recommendations," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(3), pages 229-243.
    15. Michele Catalano & Emilia Pezzolla, 2015. "The interaction between the labour tax wedge and structural reforms in Italy," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(5), pages 185-223.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Saboori, Behnaz & Gholipour, Hassan F. & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Ranjbar, Omid, 2022. "Renewable energy sources and unemployment rate: Evidence from the US states," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    2. Mariam Camarero & Sergi Moliner & Cecilio Tamarit, 2022. "Which are the long-run determinants of US outward FDI? Evidence using large long-memory panels," Working Papers 2022.08, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    3. Laeeq Razzak Janjua & Orhan Sanli & Mirela Panait & Mirela Cristea & Atteeq Razzak, 2024. "Impact of energy security and economic growth on poverty: sample of Sub-Saharan Africa," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(10), pages 25459-25484, October.
    4. Dang, Dandan & Fang, Hongsheng & He, Minyuan, 2019. "Economic policy uncertainty, tax quotas and corporate tax burden: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-1.
    5. Peppel-Srebrny, Jemima, 2021. "Not all government budget deficits are created equal: Evidence from advanced economies' sovereign bond markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    6. Ryan H. Murphy & Colin O’Reilly, 2023. "Freedom through taxation: the effect of fiscal capacity on the rule of law," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 69-90, August.
    7. Angela Luci-Greulich & Olivier Thévenon, 2013. "The Impact of Family Policies on Fertility Trends in Developed Countries," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 29(4), pages 387-416, November.
    8. Aladejare, Samson Adeniyi, 2022. "Natural resource rents, globalisation and environmental degradation: New insight from 5 richest African economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    9. Guo, Xiuping & Meng, Xianglei & Luan, Qingfeng & Wang, Yanhua, 2023. "Trade openness, globalization, and natural resources management: The moderating role of economic complexity in newly industrialized countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    10. Umut Uzar, 2022. "The connection between freedom of the press and environmental quality: An investigation on emerging market countries," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(1), pages 21-38, February.
    11. Adolfo Maza & Paula Gutiérrez-Portilla, 2022. "Outward FDI and exports relation: A heterogeneous panel approach dealing with cross-sectional dependence," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 170, pages 174-189.
    12. Shaukat, Mughees & Othman Alhabshi, Datuk, 2015. "Instability of Interest Bearing Debt Finance and the Islamic Finance Alternative By Mughees Shaukat & Datuk Othman Alhabshi," Islamic Economic Studies, The Islamic Research and Training Institute (IRTI), vol. 23, pages 29-84.
    13. Nuno Silva & José Alberto Fuinhas & Matheus Koengkan & Emad Kazemzadeh & Volkan Kaymaz, 2024. "Renewable energy deployment in Europe: Do politics matter?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(11), pages 28751-28784, November.
    14. Baltagi, Badi H. & Feng, Qu & Kao, Chihwa, 2016. "Estimation of heterogeneous panels with structural breaks," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 176-195.
    15. Hwang, Young Kyu & Sánchez Díez, Ángeles, 2024. "Renewable energy transition and green growth nexus in Latin America," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    16. Guan, Zepeng & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Sheikh, Muhammad Ramzan & Khan, Zeeshan & Gu, Xiao, 2023. "Unveiling the interconnectedness between energy-related GHGs and pro-environmental energy technology: Lessons from G-7 economies with MMQR approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    17. Sheereen Fauzel* & Boopen Seetanah & RV Sannassee, 2015. "Foreign direct investment and welfare nexus in sub Saharan Africa," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(4), pages 271-283, October-D.
    18. Jeetendra Khadan & Amrita Deonarine, 2019. "Testing the Inter-temporal Budget Constraint for Small States," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(2), pages 1176-1183.
    19. Fatima Sharif & Ihsanullah Hussain & Maria Qubtia, 2023. "Energy Consumption, Carbon Emission and Economic Growth at Aggregate and Disaggregate Level: A Panel Analysis of the Top Polluted Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-18, February.
    20. Güney, Taner, 2022. "Solar energy, governance and CO2 emissions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 791-798.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic uncertainty; Tax wedge; Panel ARDL estimation method JEL Classification: H26 ; C33 ; D80;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ist:journl:v:72:y:2022:i:2:p:787-822. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ertugrul YASAR (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ifisttr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.