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Is There A Housing Bubble in Irvine, California? A Repeat-Sales Analysis Using a New Data Set

Author

Listed:
  • John Clithero

    (Graduate Student of Duke University, Economics Department, Durham NC 27708)

  • Nathan Pealer

    (Marcus and Millichap, Washington D.C.)

Abstract

Although there have been many recent studies of the housing market and the possible housing bubble, very few studies take a micro-oriented approach. We construct a repeat-sales housing price index from a new data set for Irvine, California to understand recent trends in its housing market. Our analysis for 1984 to 2003 suggests that Irvine’s housing market did demonstrate traits of a bubble during certain periods of time. In fact, the bubble of the late 1980s and early 1990s appears to have been even more pronounced in Irvine. Our analysis does not, however, demonstrate conclusively that Irvine’s housing market has been experiencing a bubble the past few years.

Suggested Citation

  • John Clithero & Nathan Pealer, 2005. "Is There A Housing Bubble in Irvine, California? A Repeat-Sales Analysis Using a New Data Set," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 8(1), pages 110-127.
    • Handle: RePEc:ire:issued:v:08:n:01:2005:p:110-127
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Case, Karl E. & Mayer, Christopher J., 1996. "Housing price dynamics within a metropolitan area," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3-4), pages 387-407, June.
    2. Meese Richard & Wallace Nancy, 1994. "Testing the Present Value Relation for Housing Prices: Should I Leave My House in San Francisco?," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 245-266, May.
    3. Karl E. Case & Robert J. Shiller, 2003. "Is There a Bubble in the Housing Market?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 34(2), pages 299-362.
    4. Edward L. Glaeser & Joseph Gyourko & Raven E. Saks, 2005. "Why Have Housing Prices Gone Up?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(2), pages 329-333, May.
    5. Jesse M. Abraham & William S. Schauman, 1991. "New Evidence on Home Prices from Freddie Mac Repeat Sales," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 19(3), pages 333-352, September.
    6. Englund, Peter & Hwang, Min & Quigley, John M, 2002. "Hedging Housing Risk," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 24(1-2), pages 167-200, Jan.-Marc.
    7. Clapp, John M & Giaccotto, Carmelo, 1992. "Estimating Price Trends for Residential Property: A Comparison of Repeat Sales and Assessed Value Methods," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 357-374, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    housing bubble; real estate price indexes; repeat-sales data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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