IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/ormnsc/v49y2003i7p965-978.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Term Structure of Interest Rates and Implied Market Frictions: The Min--Max Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Ioulia D. Ioffe

    (Carlson School of Management, University of Minnesota, 321 19th Avenue South, Minneapolis, Minnesota 55455)

  • Eliezer Z. Prisman

    (Schulich School of Business, York University, 4700 Keele Street, Toronto, Ontario, Canada M3J 1P3)

Abstract

It is often assumed that financial markets are frictionless. Bond markets are illiquid and bond prices are observed with errors. The magnitude of these errors leads to violation of no--arbitrage conditions and, consequently, prevents researchers from obtaining an estimate of the term structure (TS) of interest rates. Researchers have had to settle for a second--best estimate of the TS (e.g., obtained via regression) at a cost of an economically unrealistic assumption of symmetric market frictions. The true shape of market frictions, however, is not known and generally is a highly complex issue. A no--arbitrage--based methodology that avoids making detrimental assumptions is developed here. It facilitates empirical investigation of the shape of the market frictions and of the TS that are simultaneously imputed from market data assuming "efficient" market frictions that minimize the maximum net arbitrage. The empirical investigation performed in the Canadian and U.S. markets shows that in both markets the frictions are asymmetric and the estimates of the TS produced via regression and our methodology significantly differ.

Suggested Citation

  • Ioulia D. Ioffe & Eliezer Z. Prisman, 2003. "Term Structure of Interest Rates and Implied Market Frictions: The Min--Max Approach," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(7), pages 965-978, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:49:y:2003:i:7:p:965-978
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.49.7.965.16379
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.49.7.965.16379
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/mnsc.49.7.965.16379?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mark Rubinstein., 1994. "Implied Binomial Trees," Research Program in Finance Working Papers RPF-232, University of California at Berkeley.
    2. Prisman, Eliezer Z, 1986. "Valuation of Risky Assets in Arbitrage Free Economies with Frictions," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(3), pages 545-557, July.
    3. Ross, Stephen A, 1987. "Arbitrage and Martingales with Taxation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 95(2), pages 371-393, April.
    4. Prisman, Eliezer Z., 1990. "A Unified Approach to Term Structure Estimation: A Methodology for Estimating the Term Structure in a Market with Frictions," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(1), pages 127-142, March.
    5. Rubinstein, Mark, 1994. "Implied Binomial Trees," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(3), pages 771-818, July.
    6. repec:bla:jfinan:v:53:y:1998:i:2:p:499-547 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gzyl, Henryk & Mayoral, Silvia, 2016. "Determination of zero-coupon and spot rates from treasury data by maximum entropy methods," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 38-50.
    2. Lazar Fred & Prisman Eliezer Z., 2012. "Constructing Historical Yield Curves from Very Sparse Spot Rates: A Methodology and Examples from the 1920s Canadian Market," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 1-24, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Carol Alexandra & Leonardo M. Nogueira, 2005. "Optimal Hedging and Scale Inavriance: A Taxonomy of Option Pricing Models," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2005-10, Henley Business School, University of Reading, revised Nov 2005.
    2. Weihan Li & Jin E. Zhang & Xinfeng Ruan & Pakorn Aschakulporn, 2024. "An empirical study on the early exercise premium of American options: Evidence from OEX and XEO options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(7), pages 1117-1153, July.
    3. René Garcia & Richard Luger & Eric Renault, 2000. "Asymmetric Smiles, Leverage Effects and Structural Parameters," Working Papers 2000-57, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    4. Sang Byung Seo & Jessica A. Wachter, 2019. "Option Prices in a Model with Stochastic Disaster Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(8), pages 3449-3469, August.
    5. Jurczenko, Emmanuel & Maillet, Bertrand & Negrea, Bogdan, 2002. "Revisited multi-moment approximate option pricing models: a general comparison (Part 1)," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24950, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Christoffersen, Peter & Heston, Steven & Jacobs, Kris, 2010. "Option Anomalies and the Pricing Kernel," Working Papers 11-17, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
    7. Peng He, 2012. "Option Portfolio Value At Risk Using Monte Carlo Simulation Under A Risk Neutral Stochastic Implied Volatility Model," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 6(5), pages 65-72.
    8. Chang, Eric C. & Ren, Jinjuan & Shi, Qi, 2009. "Effects of the volatility smile on exchange settlement practices: The Hong Kong case," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 98-112, January.
    9. Malz, Allan M., 1996. "Using option prices to estimate realignment probabilities in the European Monetary System: the case of sterling-mark," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(5), pages 717-748, October.
    10. Carole Bernard & Oleg Bondarenko & Steven Vanduffel, 2021. "A model-free approach to multivariate option pricing," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 135-155, July.
    11. Das, Sanjiv Ranjan, 1998. "A direct discrete-time approach to Poisson-Gaussian bond option pricing in the Heath-Jarrow-Morton model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 333-369, November.
    12. Semih Yon & Cafer Erhan Bozdag, 2014. "Test of Log-Normal Process with Importance Sampling for Options Pricing," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 0401571, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    13. Monteiro, Ana Margarida & Tutuncu, Reha H. & Vicente, Luis N., 2008. "Recovering risk-neutral probability density functions from options prices using cubic splines and ensuring nonnegativity," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 525-542, June.
    14. Reus, Lorenzo & Carrasco, José A. & Pincheira, Pablo, 2020. "Do it with a smile: Forecasting volatility with currency options," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    15. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013. "Forecasting with Option-Implied Information," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656, Elsevier.
    16. Lam, K. & Chang, E. & Lee, M. C., 2002. "An empirical test of the variance gamma option pricing model," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 267-285, June.
    17. Ait-Sahalia, Yacine & Lo, Andrew W., 2000. "Nonparametric risk management and implied risk aversion," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 94(1-2), pages 9-51.
    18. Emmanuel Haven & Xiaoquan Liu & Chenghu Ma & Liya Shen, 2013. "Revealing the Implied Risk-neutral MGF with the Wavelet Method," Working Papers 2013-10-14, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    19. Seiji Harikae & James S. Dyer & Tianyang Wang, 2021. "Valuing Real Options in the Volatile Real World," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(1), pages 171-189, January.
    20. Andrea Pascucci & Marco Di Francesco, 2005. "On the complete model with stochastic volatility by Hobson and Rogers," Finance 0503013, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:49:y:2003:i:7:p:965-978. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.