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Note--Optimal Strategies on Fourth Down

Author

Listed:
  • Virgil Carter

    (Elco Manufacturing, Elmonte, California)

  • Robert E. Machol

    (Northwestern University)

Abstract

An attempted field goal on fourth down, with short yardage required for first down, is a considerably poorer strategy than is generally thought.

Suggested Citation

  • Virgil Carter & Robert E. Machol, 1978. "Note--Optimal Strategies on Fourth Down," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 24(16), pages 1758-1762, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:24:y:1978:i:16:p:1758-1762
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.24.16.1758
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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.24.16.1758
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. J. Eric Bickel, 2009. "On the Decision to Take a Pitch," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 6(3), pages 186-193, September.
    2. David W. Lehman & Jungpil Hahn & Rangaraj Ramanujam & Bradley J. Alge, 2011. "The Dynamics of the Performance--Risk Relationship Within a Performance Period: The Moderating Role of Deadline Proximity," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 22(6), pages 1613-1630, December.
    3. Cade Massey & Richard H. Thaler, 2013. "The Loser's Curse: Decision Making and Market Efficiency in the National Football League Draft," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(7), pages 1479-1495, July.

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