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Development and Application of a Model for Suppression of Forest Fires

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  • George M. Parks

    (University of Pennsylvania)

Abstract

A deterministic model is suggested to describe the spread of free-burning wildland fires and the effect of various types of suppression activity thereon. The costs caused by fire are described and optimal levels of suppression forces are derived with the objective of minimizing the total costs of suppression plus fire damage. Costs incurred under optimal manning policies as given by the model are compared with the historical costs incurred on actual forest fires under present manning plans. Results indicate that significant dollar savings can be achieved in total fire caused costs by considerably increasing the size of fire suppression organizations.

Suggested Citation

  • George M. Parks, 1964. "Development and Application of a Model for Suppression of Forest Fires," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 10(4), pages 760-766, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:10:y:1964:i:4:p:760-766
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.10.4.760
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    Cited by:

    1. Yi Xiong & W. John Braun & X. Joan Hu, 2021. "Estimating duration distribution aided by auxiliary longitudinal measures in presence of missing time origin," Lifetime Data Analysis: An International Journal Devoted to Statistical Methods and Applications for Time-to-Event Data, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 388-412, July.
    2. Adam Behrendt & Vineet M. Payyappalli & Jun Zhuang, 2019. "Modeling the Cost Effectiveness of Fire Protection Resource Allocation in the United States: Models and a 1980–2014 Case Study," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(6), pages 1358-1381, June.
    3. Hand, Michael S. & Thompson, Matthew P. & Calkin, David E., 2016. "Examining heterogeneity and wildfire management expenditures using spatially and temporally descriptive data," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 80-102.

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