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Scenario Planning at Southern California Edison

Author

Listed:
  • Fred Mobasheri

    (Southern California Edison Company, PO Box 800, Rosemead, California 91770)

  • Lowell H. Orren

    (Southern California Edison Company, PO Box 800, Rosemead, California 91770)

  • Fereidoon P. Sioshansi

    (Southern California Edison Company, PO Box 800, Rosemead, California 91770)

Abstract

After a review of its forecasting record for the prior two decades, Southern California Edison Company became convinced that traditional forecasting methods were inadequate, and it adopted the techniques of scenario planning to develop its resource plan. Scenarios were created, their implications were evaluated, and strategic responses were developed.

Suggested Citation

  • Fred Mobasheri & Lowell H. Orren & Fereidoon P. Sioshansi, 1989. "Scenario Planning at Southern California Edison," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 19(5), pages 31-44, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:orinte:v:19:y:1989:i:5:p:31-44
    DOI: 10.1287/inte.19.5.31
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Koivisto, Raija & Kulmala, Ilpo & Gotcheva, Nadezhda, 2016. "Weak signals and damage scenarios — Systematics to identify weak signals and their sources related to mass transport attacks," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 180-190.
    2. Salah, Florian & Ilg, Jens P. & Flath, Christoph M. & Basse, Hauke & Dinther, Clemens van, 2015. "Impact of electric vehicles on distribution substations: A Swiss case study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 88-96.
    3. Owen, Susan Hesse & Daskin, Mark S., 1998. "Strategic facility location: A review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 111(3), pages 423-447, December.
    4. Sapio, Bartolomeo, 1995. "SEARCH (Scenario evaluation and analysis through repeated cross impact handling): a new method for scenario analysis with an application to the Videotel service in Italy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 113-131, March.
    5. Vilkkumaa, Eeva & Liesiö, Juuso & Salo, Ahti & Ilmola-Sheppard, Leena, 2018. "Scenario-based portfolio model for building robust and proactive strategies," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 266(1), pages 205-220.
    6. Douglas T. Gardner & J. Scott Rogers, 1999. "Planning Electric Power Systems Under Demand Uncertainty with Different Technology Lead Times," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(10), pages 1289-1306, October.

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