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Accounting for Tax Evasion Profiles and Tax Expenditures in Microsimulation Modelling. The BETAMOD Model for Personal Income Taxes in Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Andrea Albarea

    (Department of Economics, Ca' Foscari University, San Giobbe, Cannaregio 873, 30121 Venice, Italy)

  • Michele Bernasconi

    (Department of Economics, Ca' Foscari University, San Giobbe, Cannaregio 873, 30121 Venice, Italy)

  • Cinzia Di Novi

    (Department of Economics, Ca' Foscari University, San Giobbe, Cannaregio 873, 30121 Venice, Italy)

  • Anna Marenzi

    (Department of Economics, Ca' Foscari University, San Giobbe, Cannaregio 873, 30121 Venice, Italy)

  • Dino Rizzi

    (Department of Economics, Ca' Foscari University, San Giobbe, Cannaregio 873, 30121 Venice, Italy)

  • Francesca Zantomio

    (Department of Economics, Ca' Foscari University, San Giobbe, Cannaregio 873, 30121 Venice, Italy)

Abstract

The paper presents the main characteristics of BETAMOD, a static microsimulation model that reproduces the Italian personal income tax (IRPEF), as well as local income taxes, namely the regional and municipal surtaxes, building on a detailed reconstruction of tax legislation. With respect to the vast majority of existing tax microsimulation models, the peculiarities of BETAMOD concern two aspects: the inclusion of a detailed set of tax expenditures, and the estimation of individual-specific tax evasion rates, which account for the total individual income level, its composition in terms of income sources, and the geographical area of residence.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrea Albarea & Michele Bernasconi & Cinzia Di Novi & Anna Marenzi & Dino Rizzi & Francesca Zantomio, 2015. "Accounting for Tax Evasion Profiles and Tax Expenditures in Microsimulation Modelling. The BETAMOD Model for Personal Income Taxes in Italy," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 8(3), pages 99-136.
    • Handle: RePEc:ijm:journl:v:8:y:2015:i:3:p:99-136
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    Cited by:

    1. Demetrio Guzzardi & Elisa Palagi & Andrea Roventini & Alessandro Santoro, 2022. "Reconstructing Income Inequality in Italy: New Evidence and Tax Policy Implications from Distributional National Accounts," World Inequality Lab Working Papers halshs-03693201, HAL.
    2. Stefano Boscolo, 2021. "On the horizontal inequity effect of the erosion of the pit base: the case of Italy," Politica economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 43-82.
    3. Cinzia Di Novi & Anna Marenzi & Dino Rizzi, 2018. "Do healthcare tax credits help poor-health individuals on low incomes?," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 19(2), pages 293-307, March.
    4. Andrea Albarea & Michele Bernasconi & Cinzia Di Novi & Anna Marenzi & Dino Rizzi & Francesca Zantomio, 2015. "Accounting for Tax Evasion Profiles and Tax Expenditures in Microsimulation Modelling. The BETAMOD Model for Personal Income Taxes in Italy," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 8(3), pages 99-136.
    5. Stefano Boscolo & Giovanni Gallo, 2024. "The Struggle of Being Poor and Claimant: Evidence on the Non-Take-Up of Social Policies in Italy," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 10(2), pages 625-648, July.
    6. Davide Azzolini & Martina Bazzoli & Silvia De Poli & Carlo Fiorio & Samuele Poy, 2017. "Developing and Validating Regional Microsimulation Models. TREMOD: The Tax-Benefit Model of the Italian Province of Trento," ECONOMIA PUBBLICA, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2017(1), pages 5-33.
    7. Andrea Albarea & Michele Bernasconi & Anna Marenzi & Dino Rizzi, 2023. "Tax Evasion, Behavioral Microsimulation Models and Flat-Rate Tax Reforms: Analysis for Italy," Public Finance Review, , vol. 51(2), pages 262-310, March.
    8. Sara Torregrosa, 2015. "Bypassing progressive taxation: fraud and base erosion in the Spanish income tax (1970-2001)," Working Papers 2015/31, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
    9. Nicola Curci & Marco Savegnago & Marika Cioffi, 2017. "BIMic: the Bank of Italy microsimulation model for the Italian tax and benefit system," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 394, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    10. Taro Ohno & Junpei Sakamaki & Daizo Kojima, 2020. "Factor decomposition of changes in the tax base for income tax," Discussion papers ron331, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan.
    11. Taro Ohno & Junpei Sakamaki & Author-Name:Daizo Kojima, 2021. "Effects of Deductions on the Tax Burden Reduction and the Redistribution of the Income and Resident Taxes," Discussion papers ron338, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan.
    12. Boscolo, Stefano, 2019. "The contribution of proportional taxes and tax-free cash benefits to income redistribution over the period 2005-2018: Evidence from Italy," EUROMOD Working Papers EM18/19, EUROMOD at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    13. Stefano Boscolo, 2020. "On the Horizontal Inequity Effect of the Erosion of the PIT Base: The Case of Italy," Department of Economics 0176, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
    14. Paolo Di Caro, 2017. "Analisi distributiva dell?IRPEF utilizzando i microdati di fonte fiscale," ECONOMIA PUBBLICA, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2017(1), pages 35-59.
    15. Elena Miola & Marco Manzo, 2021. "A Tax-Benefit Microsimulation Model for Personal Income Taxation in Italy," Working Papers wp2021-10, Ministry of Economy and Finance, Department of Finance.
    16. Paolo Di Caro, 2017. "The contribution of tax statistics for analysing regional income disparities in Italy," Journal of Income Distribution, Ad libros publications inc., vol. 25(1), pages 1-27, March.
    17. Andrea Albarea & Michele Bernasconi & Anna Marenzi & Dino Rizzi, 2020. "Income Underreporting and Tax Evasion in Italy: Estimates and Distributional Effects," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 66(4), pages 904-930, December.
    18. Ohno, Taro & Sakamaki, Junpei & Kojima, Daizo & Imahori, Tomotsugu, 2021. "Effects of deductions on the tax burden reduction and the redistribution of the income and resident taxes," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    19. Stefano Boscolo, 2019. "Quantifying the Redistributive Effect of the Erosion of the Italian Personal Income Tax Base: A Microsimulation Exercise," ECONOMIA PUBBLICA, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2019(2), pages 39-80.
    20. Stefano Boscolo, 2019. "The Contribution of Proportional Taxes and Tax-Free Cash Benefits to Income Redistribution over the Period 2005-2018: Evidence from Italy," Department of Economics 0152, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Tax-benefit microsimulation; tax evasion; tax expenditures; SILC; Italy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household

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