IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ijm/journl/v14y2021i2p81-105.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Microsimulation Analysis of the Distributional Impact over the Three Waves of the COVID-19 Crisis in Ireland

Author

Listed:
  • Cathal O’Donoghue

    (National University of Ireland, Galway, Ireland)

  • Denisa M Sologon

    (Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research, Esch-sur-Alzette, Luxembourg)

  • Iryna Kyzyma

    (Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research, Esch-sur-Alzette, Luxembourg)

  • John McHale

    (Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research, Esch-sur-Alzette, Luxembourg)

Abstract

This paper relies on a microsimulation framework to undertake an analysis of the distributional implications of the COVID-19 crisis over three waves. Given the lack of real-time survey data during the fast moving crisis, it applies a nowcasting methodology and real-time aggregate administrative data to calibrate an income survey and to simulate changes in the tax benefit system that attempted to mitigate the impacts of the crisis. Our analysis shows how crisis-induced income-support policy innovations combined with existing progressive elements of the tax-benefit system were effective in avoiding an increase in income inequality at all stages of waves 1-3 of the COVID-19 emergency in Ireland. There was, however, a decline in generosity over time as benefits became more targeted. On a methodological level, our paper makes a specific contribution in relation to the choice of welfare measure in assessing the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on inequality.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Cathal O’Donoghue & Denisa M Sologon & Iryna Kyzyma & John McHale, 2021. "A Microsimulation Analysis of the Distributional Impact over the Three Waves of the COVID-19 Crisis in Ireland," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 14(2), pages 81-105.
    • Handle: RePEc:ijm:journl:v:14:y:2021:i:2:p:81-105
    DOI: 10.34196/ijm.00237
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.00237
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.34196/ijm.00237?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. DiNardo, John & Fortin, Nicole M & Lemieux, Thomas, 1996. "Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages, 1973-1992: A Semiparametric Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(5), pages 1001-1044, September.
    2. repec:bla:econom:v:69:y:2002:i:274:p:229-43 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. F. Bourguignon & M. Fournier & M. Gurgand, 2001. "Fast Development With a Stable Income Distribution: Taiwan, 1979–94," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 47(2), pages 139-163, June.
    4. Mike Brewer & Laura Gardiner, 2020. "The initial impact of COVID-19 and policy responses on household incomes," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 36(Supplemen), pages 187-199.
    5. Doorley, Karina & Regan, Mark & Beirne, Keelan & Roantree, Barra & Tuda, Dora, 2020. "The potential costs and distributional effect of Covid-19 related unemployment in Ireland," EUROMOD Working Papers EM5/20, EUROMOD at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    6. Tindara Addabbo & Rosa María García-Fernández & Carmen María Llorca-Rodríguez & Anna Maccagnan, 2016. "A microsimulation model to measure the impact of the economic crisis on household income," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(3), pages 474-493, June.
    7. François Bourguignon & Francisco H.G. Ferreira & Phillipe G. Leite, 2002. "Beyond Oaxaca-Blinder: accounting for differences in household income distributions across countries," Textos para discussão 452, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil).
    8. repec:bla:revinw:v:47:y:2001:i:2:p:139-63 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Francesca Carta, 2020. "Timely Indicators for Inequality and Poverty Using the Italian Labour Force Survey," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 149(1), pages 41-65, May.
    10. Mike Brewer & Laura Gardiner, 0. "The initial impact of COVID-19 and policy responses on household incomes," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 36(Supplemen), pages 187-199.
    11. Tindara Addabbo & Rosa María García-Fernández & Carmen María Llorca-Rodríguez & Anna Maccagnan, 2016. "A microsimulation model to measure the impact of the economic crisis on household income," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 37(3), pages 474-493, June.
    12. Callan, Tim & Keane, Claire & Walsh, John R. & Lane, Marguerita, 2010. "From Data to Policy Analysis: Tax-Benefit Modelling using SILC 2008," Papers WP359, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Andrew Clark & Conchita D'Ambrosio & Anthony Lepinteur & Giorgia Menta, 2022. "Pandemic Policy and Individual Income Changes across Europe," Working Papers 600, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. O'Donoghue, Cathal & Sologon, Denisa Maria, 2023. "The Transformation of Public Policy Analysis in Times of Crisis – A Microsimulation-Nowcasting Method Using Big Data," IZA Discussion Papers 15937, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Jinjing Li & Yogi Vidyattama & Hai Anh La & Riyana Miranti & Denisa M Sologon, 2020. "The Impact of COVID-19 and Policy Responses on Australian Income Distribution and Poverty," Papers 2009.04037, arXiv.org.
    3. Denisa M. Sologon & Cathal O’Donoghue & Iryna Kyzyma & Jinjing Li & Jules Linden & Raymond Wagener, 2022. "The COVID-19 resilience of a continental welfare regime - nowcasting the distributional impact of the crisis," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 20(4), pages 777-809, December.
    4. Cathal O'Donoghue & Denisa M. Sologon & Iryna Kyzyma & John McHale, 2020. "Modelling the Distributional Impact of the COVID‐19 Crisis," Fiscal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(2), pages 321-336, June.
    5. Cathal O’Donoghue & Denisa M. Sologon & Iryna Kyzyma, 2021. "Novel welfare state responses in times of crises: COVID-19 Crisis vs. the Great Recession," Working Papers 573, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    6. O'Donoghue, Cathal & M. Sologon, Denisa & Kyzyma, Iryna & McHale, John, 2020. "Modelling the distributional impact of the Covid-19 crisis in Ireland," Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis Working Paper Series CEMPA4/20, Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    7. Daniele Checchi & Cecilia García‐Peñalosa, 2010. "Labour Market Institutions and the Personal Distribution of Income in the OECD," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 77(307), pages 413-450, July.
    8. Andrew E. Clark & Conchita D'Ambrosio & Anthony Lepinteur, 2020. "The Fall in Income Inequality during COVID-19 in Five European Countries," Working Papers 565, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    9. Maurizio Bussolo & Rafael E De Hoyos & Denis Medvedev, 2010. "Economic growth and income distribution: linking macro-economic models with household survey data at the global level," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 3(1), pages 92-103.
    10. Andrew E. Clark & Conchita D’Ambrosio & Anthony Lepinteur, 2021. "The fall in income inequality during COVID-19 in four European countries," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 19(3), pages 489-507, September.
    11. repec:dau:papers:123456789/5424 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Anna Doś & Monika Wieczorek-Kosmala & Joanna Błach, 2022. "The Effect of Business Legal Form on the Perception of COVID-19-Related Disruptions by Households Running a Business," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-17, April.
    13. Pinkovetskaia Iuliia, 2022. "Impact of Covid-19 pandemic on household income: results of a survey of the economically active population," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 32(1), pages 43-57, March.
    14. Guido Matias Cortes & Eliza C. Forsythe, 2020. "Impacts of the Covid-19 Pandemic and the CARES Act on Earnings and Inequality," Upjohn Working Papers 20-332, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
    15. Carine Milcent & Brigitte Dormont & isabelle Durand-Zaleski & Philippe Gabriel Steg, 2007. "Gender Differences in Hospital Mortality and Use of Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Acute Myocardial Infarction. Microsimulation Analysis of the 1999 Nationwide French Hospitals Database," Post-Print halshs-00754241, HAL.
    16. Jennifer H. Gao, 2021. "A Comparison of Your Better Life Index and Its Antecedents Across Two Chinese Cultures," International Journal of Asian Business and Information Management (IJABIM), IGI Global, vol. 12(3), pages 275-288, July.
    17. Andrej Cupak & Martin Cesnak & Jan Klacso & Martin Suster, 2021. "Fates of indebted households during the Corona crisis: Survey results from Slovakia," Working and Discussion Papers OP 2/2021, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    18. Olga Cantó & Francesco Figari & Carlo V. Fiorio & Sarah Kuypers & Sarah Marchal & Marina Romaguera‐de‐la‐Cruz & Iva V. Tasseva & Gerlinde Verbist, 2022. "Welfare Resilience at the Onset of COVID‐19 Pandemic in a Selection of European Countries: Impact on Public Finance and Household Incomes," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 68(2), pages 293-322, June.
    19. Souren Koner & Abu Sayeed Mondal & Rupsha Roy, 2021. "Impact of Service Quality on Satisfaction: An Empirical Investigation on Cosmetic Retail Stores in Burdwan District," International Journal of Asian Business and Information Management (IJABIM), IGI Global, vol. 12(3), pages 1-15, July.
    20. Barbieri, Teresa, 2021. "Changes in the Italian wage distribution: the role of routine and social tasks," MPRA Paper 113407, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Jules Linden & Cathal O'Donoghue & Denisa M. Sologon, 2021. "The Structure and Incentives of a COVID related Emergency Wage Subsidy," Papers 2108.04198, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ijm:journl:v:14:y:2021:i:2:p:81-105. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jinjing Li (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.microsimulation.pub .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.