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Urban IDPs and Poverty: Analysis of the Effect of Mass Forced Displacement on Urban Poverty in Bosnia and Herzegovina

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  • Nermin Oruc

    (International University of Sarajevo, Department of Economics, Bosnia-Herzegovina)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the effect of mass forced displacement on urban poverty in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The process of displacement in Bosnia and Herzegovina involved “forced evictions”, implying no choice in displacement decision, meaning that this type of rural-urban migration was not a rational decision driven by economic motives. Consequently, this can possibly lead to a larger incidence of poverty among displaced people. The paper starts with a discussion of the specific features of the process of forced displacement and their possibly different effect on urban poverty compared to voluntary migration, based on qualitative evidence collected through interviews with people who experienced forced displacement during the conflict in the 1990s. Then, the probit model of determinants of poverty, based on the Living Standards Measurement Survey data, was estimated in order to provide empirical evidence of the effect of mass forced displacement on urban poverty, as well as the difference in the poverty incidence among displaced people compared to voluntary migrants. The results suggest that consumption is significantly lower among displaced households, while incidence of poverty is not affected by displacement status. The evidence also contributes to the migration literature by providing specific results about the relationship between mass forced displacement and urban poverty.

Suggested Citation

  • Nermin Oruc, 2015. "Urban IDPs and Poverty: Analysis of the Effect of Mass Forced Displacement on Urban Poverty in Bosnia and Herzegovina," Croatian Economic Survey, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, vol. 17(1), pages 47-70, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:iez:survey:ces-v17_1-2015_oruc
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nermin Oruč, 2011. "Do Social Transfers "Crowd-Out" Remittances: Evidence from Bosnia," wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers 92, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    2. Oded Stark, 2004. "On the Economics of Refugee Flows," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(2), pages 325-329, May.
    3. Geda, A. & de Jong, N. & Mwabu, G. & Kimenyi, M.S., 2001. "Determinants of poverty in Kenya : a household level analysis," ISS Working Papers - General Series 19095, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
    4. Florence Kondylis, 2008. "Conflict displacement and labor market outcomes in post-war Bosnia & Herzegovina," HiCN Working Papers 45, Households in Conflict Network.
    5. Samir Ghazouani & Mohamed Goaied, 2001. "The Determinants of Urban and Rural Poverty in Tunisia," Working Papers 0126, Economic Research Forum, revised 09 Jun 2001.
    6. Khalid Koser & Nicholas van Hear, 2003. "Asylum Migration and Implications for Countries of Origin," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2003-20, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    7. Deaton, Angus S & Muellbauer, John, 1980. "An Almost Ideal Demand System," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 312-326, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Admasu,Yeshwas & Alkire,Sabina & Ekhator-Mobayode,Uche Eseosa & Kovesdi,Fanni & Santamaria,Julieth & Scharlin-Pettee[,Sophie, 2021. "A Multi-Country Analysis of Multidimensional Poverty in Contexts of Forced Displacement," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9826, The World Bank.
    2. Ivlevs, Artjoms & Veliziotis, Michail, 2017. "Beyond Conflict: Long-Term Labour Market Integration of Internally Displaced Persons in Post-Socialist Countries," IZA Discussion Papers 11215, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    migration; conflict; displacement; urban poverty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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