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Perspectives on a sustainable future

Author

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  • Jan Rotmans
  • Marjolein B.A. van Asselt

Abstract

This paper presents an integrated assessment study into global change and sustainable development. A global, integrated assessment model called TARGETS, is used to develop a range of global futures. The model is intended to assess a number of the most important links between social, economic and environmental processes on a global scale. A unique feature of the TARGETS model is that it contains more than one perspective. Using a framework, a number of perspectives (consisting of worldviews and management styles) have been built in. In this way, so-called perspective-based model routes are created: chains of consistent interpretations of salient uncertainties coloured according to the various perspectives. With the help of these model routes, a number of global future trends are generated for the issues of population and health, energy, land use, water use, and biogeochemical cycles. By exploring to what extent these future directions involve certain levels of risk, an appraisal is made whether they are sustainable.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Rotmans & Marjolein B.A. van Asselt, 1999. "Perspectives on a sustainable future," International Journal of Sustainable Development, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(2), pages 201-230.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijsusd:v:2:y:1999:i:2:p:201-230
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Simon Bell & Stephen Morse, 2004. "Experiences with sustainability indicators and stakeholder participation: a case study relating to a 'Blue Plan' project in Malta," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(1), pages 1-14.
    2. Notenbaert, An & Pfeifer, Catherine & Silvestri, Silvia & Herrero, Mario, 2017. "Targeting, out-scaling and prioritising climate-smart interventions in agricultural systems: Lessons from applying a generic framework to the livestock sector in sub-Saharan Africa," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 153-162.
    3. Jean-Pierre Brans & Giorgio Gallo, 2007. "Ethics in OR/MS: past, present and future," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 165-178, September.

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