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A fuzzy decision-making model for risk ranking with an application to an onshore gas refinery

Author

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  • Sadoullah Ebrahimnejad
  • S. Meysam Mousavi
  • S. Mohammad H. Mojtahedi

Abstract

This paper aims to identify the important risks in Iranian onshore gas refinery plants and introduce new effective criteria. Risks are prioritised on the basis of the significance of impacts on typical project objectives in terms of cost, time, quality, safety and environmental sustainability. Then, this problem is defined in the Fuzzy Multicriteria Decision-Making (FMCDM) field. The Fuzzy Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (FTOPSIS) and Fuzzy Linear Programming Technique for Multidimensional Analysis of Preference (FLINMAP) methods are presented to rank the high risks. These two FMCDM modelling mechanisms are compared to find the better performance in project risk ranking. Moreover, a case study was conducted on the procedure of the proposed model and the results indicate that fuzzy LINMAP outperforms fuzzy TOPSIS. Therefore, the ranks of risks differ from one MCDM model to another. The selection of a proper MCDM model for risk ranking depends on the project's nature, the accuracy of data gathered on risk and experience.

Suggested Citation

  • Sadoullah Ebrahimnejad & S. Meysam Mousavi & S. Mohammad H. Mojtahedi, 2009. "A fuzzy decision-making model for risk ranking with an application to an onshore gas refinery," International Journal of Business Continuity and Risk Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(1), pages 38-66.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijbcrm:v:1:y:2009:i:1:p:38-66
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Majid Fouladgar Author_Email: & Abdolreza Yadani-Chamzini & Mohammad Hossein Basiri, 2011. "Risk Evaluation Of Tunnelling Projects By Fuzzy Topsis," International Conference on Management (ICM 2011) Proceeding 2011-087-331, Conference Master Resources.
    2. Mohamed, Emad & Seresht, Nima Gerami & Jafari, Parinaz & AbouRizk, Simaan, 2024. "Risk assessment for onshore wind projects in Canada," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    3. Ji-Myong Kim & Taehui Kim & Sungjin Ahn, 2020. "Loss Assessment for Sustainable Industrial Infrastructure: Focusing on Bridge Construction and Financial Losses," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-16, July.

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