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An Application Of Extreme Value Theory In Estimating Liquidity Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Benito Muela, Sonia

    (Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (España))

  • López Martín, Carmen

    (Universidad Carlos III (España))

  • Arguedas Sanz, Raquel

    (Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (España))

Abstract

The last global financial crisis (2007–2008) has highlighted the weaknesses of value at risk (VaR) as ameasure of market risk, as this metric by itself does not take liquidity risk into account. To address this problem, the academic literature has proposed incorporating liquidity risk into estimations of market risk by adding the VaR of the spread to the risk price. The parametric model is the standard approach used to estimate liquidity risk. As this approach does not generate reliable VaR estimates, we propose estimating liquidity risk using more sophisticated models based on extreme value theory (EVT). We find that the approach based on conditional extreme value theory outperforms the standard approach in terms ofaccurate VaR estimates and the market risk capital requirements of the Basel Capital Accord. / 0

Suggested Citation

  • Benito Muela, Sonia & López Martín, Carmen & Arguedas Sanz, Raquel, 2017. "An Application Of Extreme Value Theory In Estimating Liquidity Risk," European Research on Management and Business Economics (ERMBE), Academia Europea de Dirección y Economía de la Empresa (AEDEM), vol. 23(3), pages 157-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:idi:jermbe:v:23:y:2017:i:3:p:157-164
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Al Janabi, Mazin A.M. & Ferrer, Román & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2019. "Liquidity-adjusted value-at-risk optimization of a multi-asset portfolio using a vine copula approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    2. Saji Thazhungal Govindan Nair, 2021. "On extreme value theory in the presence of technical trend: pre and post Covid-19 analysis of cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(4), pages 533-561, December.
    3. Hanxiao Wang & Huizi Ma, 2022. "Optimal Investment Portfolios for Internet Money Funds Based on LSTM and La-VaR: Evidence from China," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(16), pages 1-18, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Value-at-risk; Liquidity risk; Extreme value theory; Basel capital accord; 0;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods

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